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Methane release is accelerating, particularly from Arctic areas, and methane is going to accelerate global warming:
ameg.me/index.php/methane
NASA shows, how the thicker, perennial Arctic ice is melting, fast, never mind the annual ice:
www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/featur ... -melt.html
Greenland is hot, this May:
thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/0 ... ning-766f/
A mere 1.6 C can melt the Greenland ice, inundating coastal cities, with rising seas:
www.sciencedaily.com/releases/20 ... 003232.htm
Today's climate is more closely tied to CO2 levels, than ancient climates:
phys.org/news/2012-06-today-clim ... oxide.html
I wish I had the power-point game going on, so I could post the graph, showing all five peaks and valleys, from the past 450,000 years, which clearly shows how CO2 levels force warming and cooling, both, in all five major trends.
Usually, in the case of peak warming, the heat shoots past CO2, which peaks at about 280 ppm, last instance 120,000 years ago, whereupon CO2 starts declining, and cooling follows, until a trough is reached, CO2 starts rising, and temperatures follow.
We are due, for a decline in CO2, to reduce the now-ripe warming trend, but CO2 shot way past 280 ppm, all the way to 400 ppm, in the time since the start of the industrial age, at the end of the 18th Century.
The methane is releasing, big-time, and the warming has not caught the CO2, yet. We are about to get hotter, hot as hot can be, and way off the charts hot. And the oceans and other bodies of water will acidify, killing all desirable species. We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt.
ameg.me/index.php/methane
NASA shows, how the thicker, perennial Arctic ice is melting, fast, never mind the annual ice:
www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/featur ... -melt.html
Greenland is hot, this May:
thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/0 ... ning-766f/
A mere 1.6 C can melt the Greenland ice, inundating coastal cities, with rising seas:
www.sciencedaily.com/releases/20 ... 003232.htm
Today's climate is more closely tied to CO2 levels, than ancient climates:
phys.org/news/2012-06-today-clim ... oxide.html
I wish I had the power-point game going on, so I could post the graph, showing all five peaks and valleys, from the past 450,000 years, which clearly shows how CO2 levels force warming and cooling, both, in all five major trends.
Usually, in the case of peak warming, the heat shoots past CO2, which peaks at about 280 ppm, last instance 120,000 years ago, whereupon CO2 starts declining, and cooling follows, until a trough is reached, CO2 starts rising, and temperatures follow.
We are due, for a decline in CO2, to reduce the now-ripe warming trend, but CO2 shot way past 280 ppm, all the way to 400 ppm, in the time since the start of the industrial age, at the end of the 18th Century.
The methane is releasing, big-time, and the warming has not caught the CO2, yet. We are about to get hotter, hot as hot can be, and way off the charts hot. And the oceans and other bodies of water will acidify, killing all desirable species. We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt.
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Fri, June 8, 2012 - 5:07 PM[url=timeforchange.org/ocean-aci...ming]Ocean acidification - another effect of global warming | Time for change[/url]
With the rise of atmospheric CO2 concentrations from the pre-industrial level of 280 parts per million to 379 parts per million in 2005 (IPCC, 2007), the amount of carbon in the ocean has increased substantially and rapidly. Global data collected over several decades indicate that the oceans have absorbed at least half of the anthropogenic CO2 emissions that have occurred since 1750 (Sabine et. al. 2004). This carbon dioxide has combined with water to form carbonic acid, which, like all acids, releases hydrogen ions (H+) into solution, making ocean surface water 30 percent more acidic on average. Depending on the extent of future CO2 emissions and other factors, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) predicts that ocean acidity could increase by 150 percent by 2100.
Potential Impacts on Marine Organisms
A 150 percent increase in ocean acidity would be undetectable to the average human, but certain marine organisms including mollusks, crustaceans, reef-forming corals and some species of algae and phytoplankton are particularly vulnerable to small changes in pH. These species, known as "marine calcifiers," all create skeletons or shells out of calcium carbonate. The essential building block for this process is the carbonate ion, but when combined with hydrogen ions released by carbonic acid, it is rendered useless for shell-building organisms. The concentration of carbonate ions is expected to decline by half during this century due to increased atmospheric carbon dioxide levels (Orr et. al., 2005).
Marine calcifiers face a second challenge: their calcium carbonate shells dissolve in environments that are too acidic. In fact, some deep, cold ocean waters are naturally too acidic for marine calcifiers to survive, meaning that these organisms only exist above a certain depth known as the "saturation horizon." With ocean acidification, the saturation horizon is expected to shift closer to the surface by 50 to 200 meters relative to its position during the 1800s (Doney, 2006). The Southern and Arctic oceans, which are colder and therefore naturally more acidic, may become entirely inhospitable for organisms with shells made from aragonite--one of the weaker mineral forms of calcium carbonate--by the end of this century (EUR-OCEANS, 2007).
Potential impacts on harvested species like fishes and squids are more uncertain. One area of concern is acidosis, or the build-up of carbonic acid in body fluids, which can disrupt growth, respiration and reproduction. An indirect but perhaps more certain consequence is that many species will suffer from the loss of marine calcifiers, which provide essential food and habitat (including coral reefs) for countless ocean dwellers.
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Check to see if skeptic-media is just hanging on:
[url=agwobserver.wordpress.com/anti-...ti-AGW papers debunked « AGW Observer[/url]
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[url]www.usmessageboard.com/member...f[/url]
www.theclimatehub.com/co2-and...00-years
Get this graph up, of the past 430,000 years. Note the plots of CO2 levels against temperature, the spread of peaks and troughs is widening, and how CO2 is obviously a forcing factor, in either halting peaks, of warmings or troughs, of coolings.
The CO2 levels out at 180 ppm, to send the temperature and CO2 equilibrium back up, for 80-120,000 years, per cycle. The warming trend lasts only a few thousand years, until CO2 reaches 280 ppm, while cooling trends are more moderate, taking up most of each cycle.
All trends are similar, until humans enter the industrial age, at the start of the 19th Century. At the end of the graph, CO2 jumps past the usual turnaround of 280 ppm, to reach modern levels, of 400 ppm. The temperature will follow this, without doubt.
Moreover, methane is leaking into the atmosphere, from formerly frozen areas, mainly in the Arctic. See AMEG.me, for particulars. But the warming will be runaway, and the oceans can reach caustic levels of acidity, by the end of this century.
Caustic or not, the cold waters which well up will kill plankton, when they formerly nourished them, which will disrupt the oceanic food chain.
Here's a report on threatened species:
[url=www.iucnredlist.org/about/su...s]Summary Statistics[/url]
We're dead mates, if we do not re-green. -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Tue, June 12, 2012 - 4:16 PM[B][I]Take a look at the swell graph, from the UK. It plots CO2 and temperature, over the last 400,000 years, to show clear trends, for CO2 to peak, at 280 ppm, whereupon a global equilibrium is reached, and CO2 begins to drop, forcing a gradual drop in temperatures, over about 80,000 years, whereupon CO2 reaches its usual minimum, 180 ppm, and it starts to increase, forcing temperatures up, all the way to the global maximum, in a 5-10K year-rocketing, for which the right side of the graph coincides with the Anthrocene Period, where humans arrived and became the dominant life-form, in the Holocene Age.
At the right side of the graph, the red line heads for today's level, of 400 ppm, clearly fingering humans, for cumulative defoliation and consumption of sequestered CO2, in fossil fuels, which as anthropogenic global warming (AGW) means WE DID IT.
So don't get all wingnut stupid, and then pretend humans didn't cause trouble, and the line on the right doesn't join with MORE CO2 and CH4, issuing from warming waters and lands, to create runaway global warming and acidification, when seas can get 36 C or hotter, and organisms have to respirate on H2S:[/I][/B]
[img]www.brighton73.freeserve.co.uk/gw...mg]
[I][B]Here's a primer, in case any of this slid by you, while you were wingnuttty or doinking Obamagirl; seen her lately?[/B][/I]
www.ncpa.org/pdfs/Global...ngPrimer.pdf
[B][I]Still more good media:[/I][/B]
www.geocraft.com/WVFossils...k_yrs.html
Comparison of Atmospheric Temperature with CO2 Over The Last 400,000 Years
For more than 2 million years our earth has cycled in and out of Ice Ages, accompanied by massive ice sheets accumulating over polar landmasses and a cold, desert-like global climate. Although the tropics during the Ice Age were still tropical, the temperate regions and sub-tropical regions were markedly different than they are today. There is a strong correlation between temperature and CO2 concentrations during this time.
Historically, glacial cycles of about 100,000 years are interupted by brief warm interglacial periods-- like the one we enjoy today. Changes in both temperatures and CO2 are considerable and generally synchronized, according to data analysis from ice and air samples collected over the last half century from permanent glaciers in Antarctica and other places. Interglacial periods of 15,000- 20,000 years provide a brief respite from the normal state of our natural world-- an Ice Age Climate. Our present interglacial vacation from the last Ice Age began about 18,000 years ago.
Over the last 400,000 years the natural upper limit of atmospheric CO2 concentrations is assumed from the ice core data to be about 300 ppm. Other studies using proxy such as plant stomata, however, indicate this may closer to the average value, at least over the last 15,000 years. Today, CO2 concentrations worldwide average about 380 ppm. Compared to former geologic periods, concentrations of CO2 in our atmosphere are still very small and may not have a statistically measurable effect on global temperatures. For example, during the Ordovician Period 460 million years ago CO2 concentrations were 4400 ppm while temperatures then were about the same as they are today.
Do rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations cause increasing global temperatures, or could it be the other way around? This is one of the questions being debated today. Interestingly, CO2 lags an average of about 800 years behind the temperature changes-- confirming that CO2 is not the cause of the temperature increases. One thing is certain-- earth's climate has been warming and cooling on it's own for at least the last 400,000 years, as the data below show. At year 18,000 and counting in our current interglacial vacation from the Ice Age, we may be due-- some say overdue-- for return to another icehouse climate!
[I][B]Heeeere's NASA, which employs guys like Dr. James Hansen, so expect more warnings, about warming and acid:[/B][/I]
climate.nasa.gov/evidence/
The current warming trend is of particular significance because most of it is very likely human-induced and proceeding at a rate that is unprecedented in the past 1,300 years.1
Earth-orbiting satellites and other technological advances have enabled scientists to see the big picture, collecting many different types of information about our planet and its climate on a global scale. Studying these climate data collected over many years reveal the signals of a changing climate.
Certain facts about Earth's climate are not in dispute:
The heat-trapping nature of carbon dioxide and other gases was demonstrated in the mid-19th century.2 Their ability to affect the transfer of infrared energy through the atmosphere is the scientific basis of many JPL-designed instruments, such as AIRS. Increased levels of greenhouse gases must cause the Earth to warm in response.
Ice cores drawn from Greenland, Antarctica, and tropical mountain glaciers show that the Earth’s climate responds to changes in solar output, in the Earth’s orbit, and in greenhouse gas levels. They also show that in the past, large changes in climate have happened very quickly, geologically-speaking: in tens of years, not in millions or even thousands.3
[I][B]If you don't believe AGW is real, and you don't believe in the runaway warming, which is underway, you are really ignorant, at least. But if you stay ignorant, you have yourself to blame, since I have enough at this thread, alone, to warn people, how acidification is going to take out aragonite-based carbonate-shellfish, which is happening, NOW:[/B][/I]
www.plosone.org/article/in...one.0005661
We expect bivalve larvae to be more vulnerable than adults to increased CO2 because larvae biomineralize aragonite, the more soluble form of CaCO3, rather than calcite, the predominant material used in adult shell. Weiss et al. [17] further indicate that during biomineralization some bivalve larvae, (e.g., Crassostrea gigas and Mercenaria mercenaria) generate an even more soluble amorphous CaCO3 as an ephemeral precursor to crystalline aragonite, and because larvae are generally less robust than adults to a variety of stresses. If larvae are indeed more susceptible to acidification, it may lead to their reduced performance, or even failure, ultimately leading to negative effects on oysters and other shellfish populations. Kurihara et al. observed at very high pCO2 (2268 µatm) that embryonic development and shell formation in Crassostrea gigas was inhibited during the initial 48 h following fertilization [18]. How shifting carbonate chemistry will alter the ecological structure and function in benthic communities remains a critical gap in our knowledge [1]–[2].
[I][B]When the seawater kills shellfish, it will gradually become caustic, to kill all O2 respirators, until H2S respirators re-evolve, as they have, in the past. Check the review of Richard Alley's 2009 lecture, to the AGU:[/B][/I]
thinkprogress.org/climate/2...e-history/
www.agu.org/meetings/fm0...os/A23A.shtml
www.agu.org/
[B][I]More good information, on acidification of the oceans:[/I][/B]
www.eurograduate.com/article.asp
As global warming intensifies, so increasing carbon dioxide levels in the worlds oceans may represent an increasing problem to the fish farming and shellfish industry. The oceans absorb around a third of the 20bn tonnes of carbon dioxide produced each year by human activity. While the process helps to slow global warming by keeping the gas from the atmosphere, in sea water this carbon dioxide dissolves to form carbonic acid rising levels of which cause minerals called carbonates to dissolve. One of these carbonate minerals, aragonite, is used by corals and other marine organisms such as shellfish to grow their skeletons. Aragonite is particularly susceptible to damage by carbonic acid, meaning that creatures with skeletons made from this may find it hard to survive in more acidic seas.
If this is the case, then the EU faces a serious problem. The aquaculture industry of the European Union produces a total of 1.3m tonnes of fishery products a year for a value of about €3 billion. It is estimated by the EU itself that the regions aquaculture provides some 80,000 full or part-time jobs, equivalent to 57,000 full-time jobs. With the importance of the industrys future in mind, a new EU-funded project is set to investigate how marine organisms form shells, bones and other structures made from calcium carbonate such as coral reefs, together with the impact of environmental changes on the calcification process.
www.eurograduate.com/article.asp
[I][B]My prediction is many areas of the earth will be challenged as human habitat, and the human population will be reduced, by forcing factors, related to global warming and acidification, of bodies of water. HEY! Are you a submarine-human? You will die, anyway. So smarten up. We re-green and use CO2-neutral biomass, or many of us will die, no doubt.[/B][/I] -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Tue, June 19, 2012 - 3:39 PMDavid and Charles Koch funded a study, which found global warming science is legitimate, which with their advocacy of reduction of drug laws has me avoiding Occupy Wall Street, but I won't be giving money to Republicans. The study:
climatecrocks.com/2012/06/1...man-cause/
NASA is always a good read:
climate.nasa.gov/
Henry Ford and other vids, for hemp ethanol and plastic, from old school technology:
www.youtube.com/watch
www.youtube.com/watch
Dr. Wing Sung, tonight:
www.youtube.com/watch
We are suffering 10x CO2 rate, relative to the PETM extinction event, so expect accelerated outgassing of CH4 and more CO2, warming, oceanic acidification, sea level rise, and reduced human and animal habitat. Good luck, ducking Mass Extinction Event 6. -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Sun, June 24, 2012 - 4:26 PM[IMG]www.usmessageboard.com/member...g[/IMG]
[IMG]www.usmessageboard.com/member...g[/IMG]
[B]Temperature rise is ACCELERATING. We can be refugees, or we can host refugees, or die:[/B]
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[url=www.guardian.co.uk/environm...ve]Humans driving extinction faster than species can evolve, say experts | Environment | The Guardian[/url]
For the first time since the dinosaurs disappeared, humans are driving animals and plants to extinction faster than new species can evolve, one of the world's experts on biodiversity has warned.
Conservation experts have already signalled that the world is in the grip of the "sixth great extinction" of species, driven by the destruction of natural habitats, hunting, the spread of alien predators and disease, and climate change.
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[url=www.whole-systems.org/extinct...iversity and Extinctions[/url]
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[url=www.sourcewatch.org/index.php Sixth Great Extinction - SourceWatch[/url]
Human beings and the natural world are on a collision course. Human activities inflict harsh and often irreversible damage on the environment and on critical resources. If not checked, many of our current practices put at serious risk the future that we wish for human society and the plant and animal kingdoms, and may so alter the living world that it will be unable to sustain life in the manner that we know. Fundamental changes are urgent if we are to avoid the collision our present course will bring about.... WARNING we the undersigned, senior members of the world's scientific community, hereby warn all humanity of what lies ahead. A great change in our stewardship of the earth and the life on it, is required, if vast human misery is to be avoided and our global home on this planet is not to be irretrievably mutilated. World Scientists' Warning To Humanity:
[url=deoxy.org/sciwarn.htm]World Scientists' Warning to Humanity[/url]
The environment is suffering critical stress:
The Atmosphere
Stratospheric ozone depletion threatens us with enhanced ultraviolet radiation at the earth's surface, which can be damaging or lethal to many life forms. Air pollution near ground level, and acid precipitation, are already causing widespread injury to humans, forests and crops.
Water Resources
Heedless exploitation of depletable ground water supplies endangers food production and other essential human systems. Heavy demands on the world's surface waters have resulted in serious shortages in some 80 countries, containing 40% of the world's population. Pollution of rivers, lakes and ground water further limits the supply.
Oceans
Destructive pressure on the oceans is severe, particularly in the coastal regions which produce most of the world's food fish. The total marine catch is now at or above the estimated maximum sustainable yield. Some fisheries have already shown signs of collapse. Rivers carrying heavy burdens of eroded soil into the seas also carry industrial, municipal, agricultural, and livestock waste -- some of it toxic.
Soil
Loss of soil productivity, which is causing extensive Land abandonment, is a widespread byproduct of current practices in agriculture and animal husbandry. Since 1945, 11% of the earth's vegetated surface has been degraded -- an area larger than India and China combined -- and per capita food production in many parts of the world is decreasing.
Forests
Tropical rain forests, as well as tropical and temperate dry forests, are being destroyed rapidly. At present rates, some critical forest types will be gone in a few years and most of the tropical rain forest will be gone before the end of the next century. With them will go large numbers of plant and animal species.
Living Species
The irreversible loss of species, which by 2100 may reach one third of all species now living, is especially serious. We are losing the potential they hold for providing medicinal and other benefits, and the contribution that genetic diversity of life forms gives to the robustness of the world's biological systems and to the astonishing beauty of the earth itself.
Much of this damage is irreversible on a scale of centuries or permanent. Other processes appear to pose additional threats. Increasing levels of gases in the atmosphere from human activities, including carbon dioxide released from fossil fuel burning and from deforestation, may alter climate on a global scale. Predictions of global warming are still uncertain -- with projected effects ranging from tolerable to very severe -- but the potential risks are very great.
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[url=rainforests.mongabay.com/0908.htm]Impact of Deforestation—Extinction[/url]
Decades or centuries after a habitat perturbation, extinction related to the perturbation may still be taking place. This is perhaps the least understood and most insidious aspect of habitat destruction. We can clear-cut a forest and then point out that the attendant extinctions are low, when in reality a larger number of extinctions will take place in the future. We will have produced an extinction debt that has to be paid. . . We might curtail our hunting practices when some given population falls to very low numbers and think that we have succeeded in "saving" the species in question, when in reality we have produced an extinction debt that ultimately must be paid in full. . . Extinction debts are bad debts, and when they are eventually paid, the world is a poorer place.
For example, the disappearance of crucial pollinators will not cause the immediate extinction of tree species with life cycles measured in centuries. Similarly, a study of West African primates found an extinction debt of over 30 percent of the total primate fauna as a result of historic deforestation. This suggests that protection of remaining forests in these areas might not be enough to prevent extinctions caused by past habitat loss. While we may be able to predict the effects of the loss of some species, we know too little about the vast majority of species to make reasonable projections. The unanticipated loss of unknown species will have a magnified effect over time.
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[I]Things are getting bad, worse, then [B]HELLACIOUS[/B]. That's what ACCELERATION means.[/I] -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Mon, June 25, 2012 - 11:25 AMWhat happens, if East Antarctica melts? Sea levels will likely be 25 m higher, without all that. But sea levels MIGHT be 50 m higher. We shall see, if SLR accelerates, past 3-4 mm, per year.
When warming finishes accelerating, and seas are bigger and hotter, heavier tides will wash, over and near plates, faults, and magma chambers. When heavier tides do THAT, volcanoes will erupt.
When any of the following volcanoes happen to erupt under ice, that ice will melt, to undercut the East Antarctic ice sheet:
THE PLEIADES Stratovolcano Potassium-Argon East Antarctica
UNNAMED Scoria cones Holocene? East Antarctica
MOUNT RITTMANN Shield volcano Pleistocene-Fumarolic East Antarctica
MELBOURNE Stratovolcano Tephrochronology East Antarctica
UNNAMED Submarine volcano Holocene? East Antarctica
EREBUS Stratovolcano Historical East Antarctica
MT. MORNING Shield volcano Holocene? East Antarctica
ROYAL SOCIETY RANGE Cinder cones Holocene? East Antarctica
If temperatures are 8-20 C hotter, than today's global average, that ice might melt and really, REALLY screw things up, for any humans, left alive. This could take more than a couple of hundred years, but don't underestimate human sociopaths. They could multiply, like pond scum, send the temperature way up, and take out ALL the ice.
But will they do that? Humans might re-green. We'll have to wait and see.
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[url=factsanddetails.com/world.php THEIR MECHANICS, STRUCTURE AND VOCABULARY - World Topics | Facts and Details[/url]
A tuya is a volcano that erupted under a glacier. The Vatnajökull glacier in Europe is a temperate glacier covering about 8,300 square kilometers in the SE part of Iceland. Volcanic fissure systems of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge plate boundary are partly covered by the western part of the ice sheet. Two major volcanic centers lie beneath the ice, the Bardarbunga volcanic centre and the Grimsvötn volcanic centre both with large subglacial caldera depressions. [Source: Nordisk Vulkanologisk Institut (Nordic Volcanological Institute, Iceland) Website, 2001]
Glaciers and Global Warming
Worldwide glaciers are shrinking. Many blame global warming, which seems to be causing more snowfall in the winter but more melting in the summer. Many glaciers are melting rapidly with the pace having picked up in the last decade. Glaciers have almost vanished from Africa and Papua New Guinea.
In the Caucasus half of all glaciers have disappeared in the last 100 years. Mt. Kilimanjaro’s ice cap has shrunk by half in the last 40 years and by 80 percent in the last 100 years. By some estimates it could be ice free in as little as 15 years. Glaciers in the some parts of the Alps and the Andes are shrinking at an alarming rate and some worry they could disappear in the coming decade.
In the 1980s and 1990s glaciers in the Alps have been melting faster but ice covers in Scandinavia, Greenland, Iceland and New Zealand have been growing.
In 2008, a total of 70 Swiss glaciers were retreating and five were advancing according to the Swiss Glacier Monitoring network. The Aletsch glacier, the largest in the Alps and a major water source for the Rhine, has been retreating for about 150 years yet it still holds 27 million tons of ice, enough to fill 12 million Olympic-size swimming pools.
Run off from melting glaciers and ice caps is raising sea levels by 1.2 centimeters a year. Estimates vary but glacier and mountain caps could contribute 70 centimeters to global sea levels if they were all to melt.
The melting of glaciers isn’t necessarily tied to global warming. Scientists say it can take decades for a glacier to respond to warming and that melting is occurring is still partly the warming after the Little Age from 1450 to 1890.
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So what will cause East Antarctica, to give up its ice? Hey, maybe humans won't re-green, the accelerating temperatures will reach some new high, and in a couple of hundred years, the eastern ice sheet might get damaged, but not for the time being. Never underestimate sociopathic humans. They can think of a way, to screw this up, but not until they ignore AGW some more:
[url=www.jstor.org/discover/10.2307/521200 Geografiska Annaler. Series A, Physical Geography, Vol. 75, No. 4 (1993), pp. 155-204[/url]
A case is made for the stability of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet during Pliocene time from landscape development and surficial sediments in the Dry Valleys sector of the Transantarctic Mountains. The alternate hypothesis of Pliocene meltdown requires atmospheric temperatures 20°C above present values, late Pliocene ice-sheet overriding of the Transantarctic Mountains, and possible rapid late Pliocene mountain uplift of 1000-3000 m. The geomorphological results suggest that these conditions were not met in the Dry Valleys region. Rather, Pliocene mean annual atmospheric temperatures were at most only 3° to 8°C above present values; ice-sheet overriding occurred in Miocene time (>13.6 Ma); Pliocene glacier expansion was limited; and Pliocene surface uplift was only about 250 to 300 m. These conclusions are based on field studies in Taylor and Wright Valleys, in the western Asgard Range, and in the Quartermain Mountains. The chronology comes from numerous 40Ar/39Ar dates on in-situ volcanic ashes that occur in stratigraphic association with unconsolidated diamictons in the western Dry Valleys, basaltic lava flows interbedded with widespread tills in Taylor Valley, and reworked basaltic clasts in alpine moraines in east-central Wright Valley. The combined evidence from the Dry Valleys region indicates that slope evolution was severely restricted throughout Pliocene time, and has been so since at least the middle Miocene. The implication is that most of the Dry Valleys landscape is relict and that it reflects ancient erosion, possibly under semi-arid climate conditions, prior to middle-Miocene time.
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Since their theory of Pliocene meltdown requires 20 C above present values, MAYBE future humans will be safe, from meltdown, in East Antarctica. What will be determined is whether humans can limit acceleration of warming, to some level, which does not completely exceed previous warmings.
The modern acceleration of warming is likely happening, NOW, since out-gassing from all affected Arctic regions has been evident, and humans won't reduce emissions in any way, including to reduce the drug war or any other war and the related carbon footprint, which would allow widespread growing of industrial hemp, known to be a valuable biomass resource.
Whether humans can see fit to re-green deserts and polluted lands and waters remains to be seen. Humans are at war, and war enables profiteers, who have put a price on everything. The price on simple VALUE is too high, for humans to continue to multiply, indefinitely, but we are 7.017 billions.
Unless humans swing value against the carbon footprint, in favor of eco-balance, humans are still too stupid, to survive what is happening and what is coming. What is coming might be a meltdown, of East Antarctica, but this remains to be seen. -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Fri, June 29, 2012 - 5:28 PMSLR predictions are variable because the rise of GHG-concentrations is variously 10x faster, than out-gassing, before the temperature rises, of the PETM extinction, 56 m.y.a. The temperature rise is only starting to accelerate, with the SLR following.
That means, steady rises, featuring lots of ups and downs, from the several forcing factors are morphing, to steadier rises and then to accelerating rises.
One really nasty aspect, of out-gassing is the virtual eruption, of CH4, methane, which breaks down, to CO2 and H2O, but this takes time. And methane is jumping out SO MUCH, we need to wonder whether it caused the largest extinction event, ever:[/i]
[url=unfccc.int/ghg_data/ghg.../4146.php]GHG data from UNFCCC[/url]
In accordance with Articles 4 and 12 of the Climate Change Convention, and the relevant decisions of the Conference of the Parties, countries that are Parties to the Convention submit national greenhouse gas (GHG) inventories to the Climate Change secretariat. These submissions are made in accordance with the reporting requirements adopted under the Convention, such as The UNFCCC Reporting Guidelines on Annex I Inventories (document FCCC/SBSTA/2004/8) for Annex I Parties and Guidelines for the preparation of national communications for non-Annex I Parites (decision 17/CP.8). The inventory data are provided in the annual GHG inventory submissions by Annex I Parties and in the national communications under the Convention by non-Annex I Parties.
The GHG data reported by Parties contain estimates for direct greenhouse gases, such as:
CO2 - Carbon dioxide
CH4 - Methane
N2O - Nitrous oxide
PFCs - Perfluorocarbons
HFCs - Hydrofluorocarbons
SF6 - Sulphur hexafluoride
. . . as well as for the indrect greenhouse gases such as SO2, NOx, CO and NMVOC.
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[url=www.giss.nasa.gov/research/...hane/]NASA GISS: Research Features: Methane: A Scientific Journey from Obscurity to Climate Super-Stardom[/url]
Along with isotopic analyses of the ice itself (which is mainly related to temperature), the researchers (such as Jérôme Chappellaz in Grenoble, France) were able to isolate the gases trapped inside tiny bubbles in the ice. The greenhouses gases, CO2 and CH4, within those bubbles showed that since the industrial period began (around the mid-1800s) concentrations of both CO2 and CH4 have been increasing rapidly. In fact, CH4 concentrations have more than doubled over the last 150 years, and the contribution to the enhanced greenhouse effect is almost half of that due to CO2 increases over the same period.
The changes over the last century seem to be mostly related to increased emissions due to human activity: leaks from mining and natural gas pipelines, landfills, increased irrigation (particularly rice paddies, which are essentially artificial wetlands) and increased livestock producing more intestinal CH4 (!) among other factors. However, over the last ice age, and particularly in the turbulent world just prior to the modern Holocene period (roughly the last 11,500 years), methane was observed to oscillate almost hand-in-hand in response to rapid climate changes such as the Younger Dryas cold interval (a return to almost full ice age conditions 12,500 years ago).
[img]www.giss.nasa.gov/research/....gif[/img]
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[url=www.epa.gov/outreach/sou....html]Sources and Emissions | Methane | Climate Change | U.S. EPA[/url]
Methane (CH4) is emitted from a variety of both human-related (anthropogenic) and natural sources. Human-related activities include fossil fuel production, animal husbandry (enteric fermentation in livestock and manure management), rice cultivation, biomass burning, and waste management. These activities release significant quantities of methane to the atmosphere. It is estimated that more than 50 percent of global methane emissions are related to human-related activities (U.S. EPA). Natural sources of methane include wetlands, gas hydrates, permafrost, termites, oceans, freshwater bodies, non-wetland soils, and other sources such as wildfires.
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[url=www.astrobio.net/pressrele...g]Methane: the Great Dying?[/url]
What caused the worst mass extinction in Earth's history 251 million years ago? This event is one of the most catastrophic in life's history: the P/T extinction.
An asteroid or comet colliding with Earth? A greenhouse effect? Volcanic eruptions in Siberia? Or an entirely different culprit? Scientists have suggested many possible causes for this "Great Dying": severe volcanism, a nearby supernova, environmental changes wrought by the formation of a super-continent, the devastating impact of a large asteroid -- or some combination of these. Whatever happened during this period left no form of life undisturbed: No class or species was spared from devastation. Trees, plants, lizards, proto-mammals, insects, fish, mollusks, and microbes -- all were nearly wiped out. More than 9 in 10 marine species and 7 in 10 land species vanished. Life on our planet almost came to an end.
This catastrophe - marked in the geologic record as the Permian/Triassic boundary - occurred about 250 million years ago--and is not to be confused with the better-known Cretaceous-Tertiary (K/T) extinction that signaled the end of at least fifty percent of all species, including the dinosaurs, 65 million years ago. During this earlier cataclysmic period in Earth's history, known as "The Great Dying," up to 96 percent of marine species and about 70 percent of land species were wiped out. Scientists have not been able to determine what caused this cataclysm to life, although theories of asteroid impacts, climatic changes, and the greenhouse effect have all been suggested. Many paleontologists have been skeptical of the theory that an asteroid caused the extinction, since early studies of the fossil record suggested that the die-out happened gradually over millions of years -- not suddenly like a single, catastrophic event. But as their methods for dating the disappearance of species has improved, estimates of its duration have shrunk from millions of years to between 8,000 and 100,000 years--a very quick event in geological terms.
A Northwestern University chemical engineer believes the culprit may be an enormous explosion of methane (natural gas) erupting from the ocean depths. This explanation is closer to the inverse of an external impact, like an asteroid, and more like a disgorging of trapped energy that erupts from deep below the oceans. Such a global catastrophe has a more local precedent, as a similar eruption happened in Africa at Lake Nyos in 1986, killing 1700 people and rippling as far away as 25 kilometers.
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[i]Does anyone dare, to enter the fatal CHAMBER OF FARTS?
Do any wise-guys want, to out-gas GHGs, faster, and faster, and FASTEST, OF ALL TIME?
Why then! We may become extinct humans, for letting the methane come out, much too fast. If we go this route, and we cetainly look like we are trying to, "Oops, I crapped my pants" or "Oops, we crapped our adult diapers" will certainly not save us, if accelerated CH4 release suddenly goes BOOOOOOM or otherwise causes some sudden shizzle, to dizzle.
Want to bet, on how we die, before the SLR takes our land, AND the volcanoes come back, from all the big tides? MR. METHANE CAN KILL ALL OF US. See him on Howard Stern Show, classics, if you can get this.
Howard Stern, of course appeared as FART-MAN, on stage and on TV. Killer show. Really! -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Sat, June 30, 2012 - 6:12 PM[url=petrolog.typepad.com/climate...mulative Emissions of CO2 - A Response to Climate Change[/url]
An analysis of published data (see graph below) indicates human activity has been responsible for releasing more than 300 billion tons of carbon (1.1 trillion tons of CO2) into the atmosphere since the start of the industrial revolution and that this represents something approaching 55% of a total that scientists predict will lead to significant climate stress if the resultant rise in carbon dioxide levels is not halted. Although the figures used in preparing the graph do not consider other factors such as deforestation / change of land use (human induced) or increased acidification of the oceans (environmental response to higher atmospheric concentrations of CO2), it may be concluded there is not much time remaining for nations to negotiate quotas if concentrations in excess of 450 ppm (parts per million) are to be avoided.
[url=cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emi...Fossil-Fuel CO2 Emissions by Region[/url]
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[url=thinkprogress.org/climate/2...ipled/]The growth rate of carbon emissions has TRIPLED | ThinkProgress[/url]
A stunning new study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) finds the growth rate of CO2 emissions has tripled in recent years:
CO2 emissions from fossil-fuel burning and industrial processes have been accelerating at a global scale, with their growth rate increasing from 1.1%/year for 1990-1999 to >3%/year for 2000-2004. The emissions growth rate since 2000 was greater than for the most fossil-fuel intensive of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emissions scenarios developed in the late 1990s.
That’s right. CO2 emissions are rising faster than in the most pessimistic U.N. scenario. So much for all those ostriches and Global Warming Delayers who say that economic growth is the key to solving global warming or that the U.N. scenarios are too extreme.
The study finds “Global emissions growth since 2000 was driven by a cessation or reversal of earlier declining trends in the energy intensity of gross domestic product (energy/GDP) and the carbon intensity of energy (emissions/energy), coupled with continuing increases in population and per-capita GDP.” Sadly, “No region is decarbonizing its energy supply.” In short, coal remains king.
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[url=oregonstate.edu/ua/ncs/arc...e]Hatchery, OSU scientists link ocean acidification to larval oyster failure | News & Research Communications | Oregon State University[/url]
Researchers at Oregon State University have definitively linked an increase in ocean acidification to the collapse of oyster seed production at a commercial oyster hatchery in Oregon, where larval growth had declined to a level considered by the owners to be “non-economically viable.”
A study by the researchers found that elevated seawater carbon dioxide (CO2) levels, resulting in more corrosive ocean water, inhibited the larval oysters from developing their shells and growing at a pace that would make commercial production cost-effective. As atmospheric CO2 levels continue to rise, this may serve as the proverbial canary in the coal mine for other ocean acidification impacts on shellfish, the scientists say.
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[url=www.plosone.org/article/in...028983]PLoS ONE: High-Frequency Dynamics of Ocean pH: A Multi-Ecosystem Comparison[/url]
The effect of Ocean Acidification (OA) on marine biota is quasi-predictable at best. While perturbation studies, in the form of incubations under elevated pCO2, reveal sensitivities and responses of individual species, one missing link in the OA story results from a chronic lack of pH data specific to a given species' natural habitat. Here, we present a compilation of continuous, high-resolution time series of upper ocean pH, collected using autonomous sensors, over a variety of ecosystems ranging from polar to tropical, open-ocean to coastal, kelp forest to coral reef. These observations reveal a continuum of month-long pH variability with standard deviations from 0.004 to 0.277 and ranges spanning 0.024 to 1.430 pH units. The nature of the observed variability was also highly site-dependent, with characteristic diel, semi-diurnal, and stochastic patterns of varying amplitudes. These biome-specific pH signatures disclose current levels of exposure to both high and low dissolved CO2, often demonstrating that resident organisms are already experiencing pH regimes that are not predicted until 2100. Our data provide a first step toward crystallizing the biophysical link between environmental history of pH exposure and physiological resilience of marine organisms to fluctuations in seawater CO2. Knowledge of this spatial and temporal variation in seawater chemistry allows us to improve the design of OA experiments: we can test organisms with a priori expectations of their tolerance guardrails, based on their natural range of exposure. Such hypothesis-testing will provide a deeper understanding of the effects of OA. Both intuitively simple to understand and powerfully informative, these and similar comparative time series can help guide management efforts to identify areas of marine habitat that can serve as refugia to acidification as well as areas that are particularly vulnerable to future ocean change.
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Be sure you pick up on how killer problem number one is oceanic acidification, since problem numbers 2-X are liable to be summarized, as how high on the list of Mass Extinction Events, will Mass Extinction Event 6 fall?
We will land, somewhere between the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, or PETM, which happened 56 m.y.a., and the Permian/Triassic Event, or P/T, which happened 251 m.y.a., and it is number ONE, on the list of Mass Extinction Events.
We can get to number one or two, no problem, since our rate of CO2 emissions is 10x the PETM, and if we juice up the oceans, fast enough, we can simultaneously see volcanism AND CH4 out-gassing, which characterized the P/T extinction, and we can then challenge, for the top spot, at deadly events. Of course, the odds of any large part of today's 7.017 billion humans surviving or leaving their children with anything they want is ZERO. -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Sun, July 1, 2012 - 2:10 PM"The Easter Islanders, aware that they were almost completely isolated from the rest of the world, must surely have realised that their very existence depended on the limited resources of a small island. After all it was small enough for them to walk round the entire island in a day or so and see for themselves what was happening to the forests. Yet they were unable to devise a system that allowed them to find the right balance with their environment. Instead vital resources were steadily consumed until finally none were left. Indeed, at the very time when the limitations of the island must have become starkly apparent, the competition between the clans for the available timber seems to have intensified as more and more statues were carved and moved across the island in an attempt to secure prestige and status. The fact that so many were left unfinished or stranded near the quarry suggests that no account was taken of how few trees were left on the island."
~ Green History of the World (1997 Edition) -
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This is the maximum depth. Additional responses will not be threaded.
Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Tue, July 3, 2012 - 9:20 PMAmerican politicians are trying, to be like the Easter Islanders, I have no doubt. Black Obamney copies Republicans and their policies, like white Obamneycare and Op.Fast and Furious, which was modeled after Republican administrations' Project Gunrunner and Op.Wide Receiver. And then black Obamney withholds documents, from either Congress or the Bradley Manning defense.
Black Obamney promised in 2008, 2010, and again, in 2012, to prioritize climate change. Okie-dokie, black Obamney! And when hell freezes over, he'll quit torturing and give GITMO, back to Cuba.
CLIMATE, ADAPTATION, MITIGATION, E-LEARNING = CAMEL!
www.camelclimatechange.org/
www.camelclimatechange.org/reso...5161/
Definitions of advanced biofuels;
Review of feedstock and technologies for production of advanced biofuels
Description of plant cell composition as solar energy storage system;
Review of biomass recalcitrance;
Review of sustainability elements (economic, environmental, social) and analysis.
Provides exercises to frame discussion of each element of sustainability, practice conducting brief sustainability analysis with regard to renewable liquid transportation fuels.
The presentation answers the questions:
What Are Advanced Biofuels?
Why Are They Important?
What Are They Used For?
How Are They Made?
Can We Buy Them NOW?
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apnews.myway.com/article/2...P9J681.htm
As recently as March, a special report an extreme events and disasters by the Nobel Prize-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warned of "unprecedented extreme weather and climate events." Its lead author, Chris Field of the Carnegie Institution and Stanford University, said Monday, "It's really dramatic how many of the patterns that we've talked about as the expression of the extremes are hitting the U.S. right now."
"What we're seeing really is a window into what global warming really looks like," said Princeton University geosciences and international affairs professor Michael Oppenheimer. "It looks like heat. It looks like fires. It looks like this kind of environmental disasters."
Oppenheimer said that on Thursday. That was before the East Coast was hit with triple-digit temperatures and before a derecho - an unusually strong, long-lived and large straight-line wind storm - blew through Chicago to Washington. The storm and its aftermath killed more than 20 people and left millions without electricity. Experts say it had energy readings five times that of normal thunderstorms.
Fueled by the record high heat, this was one of the most powerful of this type of storm in the region in recent history, said research meteorologist Harold Brooks of the National Severe Storm Laboratory in Norman, Okla. Scientists expect "non-tornadic wind events" like this one and other thunderstorms to increase with climate change because of the heat and instability, he said.
Such patterns haven't happened only in the past week or two. The spring and winter in the U.S. were the warmest on record and among the least snowy, setting the stage for the weather extremes to come, scientists say.
Since Jan. 1, the United States has set more than 40,000 hot temperature records, but fewer than 6,000 cold temperature records, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Through most of last century, the U.S. used to set cold and hot records evenly, but in the first decade of this century America set two hot records for every cold one, said Jerry Meehl, a climate extreme expert at the National Center for Atmospheric Research. This year the ratio is about 7 hot to 1 cold. Some computer models say that ratio will hit 20-to-1 by midcentury, Meehl said.
"In the future you would expect larger, longer more intense heat waves and we've seen that in the last few summers," NOAA Climate Monitoring chief Derek Arndt said.
The 100-degree heat, drought, early snowpack melt and beetles waking from hibernation early to strip trees all combined to set the stage for the current unusual spread of wildfires in the West, said University of Montana ecosystems professor Steven Running, an expert on wildfires.
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The IPCC is really good media, to review, since they have really complete reports, on-site:
ipcc-wg2.gov/SREX/ -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Wed, July 4, 2012 - 9:59 AM[url=www.bootheglobalperspectives.com/a...sp of 10 Most Recent Years Indicate Record High Temperatures Worldwide[/url]
9 of the 10 warmest years on record occurred since 2000. Warmer temperatures and more radical and unstable weather patterns cannot be ignored. Something is going on out there and this week we experienced the radiation from massive solar flares. All of this, and we consider what happens if the ice caps at the poles do continue to melt and shrink. Will sea levels continue to rise and endanger people in coastal areas?
Then we read that indeed, the oceans have been measured and have increased temperature world wide. Explorers tell us that glaciers are melting at a rapid pace, unlike ever documented before.
Not only is the ocean hotter. So is the land, air and throughout the world, reports confirm what we all have suspected. It is hotter out there. In New Hampshire, while Republicans were fighting their Presidential primary season, there was little or no snow. Ponds that were once iced over this time of year, were attracting fishermen. In the Sangre de Cristo Mountains of New Mexico, what once were white snow and ice covered mountains, in January, are largely bare of snow, with only tiny spots of glaciers left at the very tops.
The global average temperature last year was the ninth-warmest since records have been kept. Most scholars believe it is because of greenhouse gases. NASA scientists agree with this evaluation.
A separate report from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said the average temperature for the United States in 2011 as the 23rd warmest year on record.
*
The first 11 years of the new century were notably hotter than the middle and late 20th century, according to institute director James Hansen. The only year from the 20th century that was among the top 10 warmest years was 1998.
These high global temperatures come even with the cooling effects of a strong La Nina ocean temperature pattern and low solar activity for the past several years. But in January of 2012, the Sun became active, and on January 25 a huge solar storm sent radiation, hitting the earth and causing some electrical disruptions, cell phone failures, and flight rerouting.
Some suggested that this is just the beginning, because the sun has drifted into an energy cloud that could "stimulate" and activate more solar activity. The fear mongers are crying that this could lead to a world wide 'grid' failure and mass failure in the world social order. Others, suggest that it will bring (as it is already doing) spotty problems but nothing major.
But it is a coincidence that it comes during the same period that the Mayan Calendar predicted some kind of world wide disaster. The Maya's were students and worshippers of the sun. All of this brings to mind how vulnerable our word is, and how separated 90% of humanity is from basic sources of food, water, and energy. Perhaps the wise among us should consider this, and consider a return to the essential elements of survival.
Saneh Boothe's "Cornucopia Project" has been writing on this subject for years (see: [url=www.cornucopia-enterprise.com]Buy Greenhouses at Cornucopia Enterprise LLC.[/url]). But the "Green-fire Times" of Santa Fe, New Mexico acknowledged that it is publishing the EDEN GARDEN PROJECT, designed by Saneh T. Boothe, representing an answer to basic security needs and solutions for homeland security in the event of national disaster or other disruptions in our power, grid, transportation, water and food supply.
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Mayans, huh? I wonder if they were like Leonardo da Vinci, who drew a lot of pictures, forecast inventions, of the 20th Century, and also, he predicted global climate disaster. But Leo never drew a picture, of a CHAINSAW. -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Thu, July 12, 2012 - 4:51 PMSacramento is likely to be a community, which suffers an extreme flood, during a La Nina (downtown Sacto was flooded, during a La Nina storm), or even during a nasty, wet El Nino event, exaggerated, by climate change, which dumps a lot of water, on stressed, badly-constructed, aging levees:
[url=www.protectthepocket.com/]The worst levee in the US[/url]
Levees are supposed to look, like this:
[img]www.protectthepocket.com/image...[/img]
[I]But they sure don't:[/I]
[img]www.protectthepocket.com/image...[/img]
"Debris or overgrown vegetation around levees can dangerously impede flood fighting." Dept. of Water Resources.
Water Leakage map for 95831. Each numbered area is a point of water leakage, April 2006
Leakage continued for several months.
Toxins leaching out of the ground into the gutter and into the river continued for months during March-April 2006
Four Sink Holes opened up in the pocket. This is on Pocket road and was the largest. A sinkhole is a hole in the ground surface which occurs when material below the surface is removed by water. River water was flowing beneath the levees! The pocket almost flooded. See Sanford Study
"These levees are so important that they are under control of local, state, and federal agencies." Dept. of Water Resources
"Strict maintenance of the area around the levee reduces the risk of failure and is vital to protecting your life and property." Department of Water Resources
[img]www.protectthepocket.com/image...[/img]
Foot of levee has been removed to enlarge homeowner's backyard. Ten foot maintenance and flood fighting easement is not protected. If our levee fails to meet federal standards, then all pocket residents will be required to purchase expensive flood insurance at the high-risk rates. This levee affects the pocketbook of every resident.
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Other gross examples of incursions, into the easement or into the actual levee structure:
Fish pond dug into 10 foot easement. Notice fence is sagging because the levee is slumping into the backyard.
Homeowners have removed dirt from the Sacramento levee base for landscaping. Removing part of the levee weakens it. A basic common law is that a property owner is required to use their own property so that they do not injure another's property.
Walkway dug into levee. In many areas the levees are weakened because dirt has been removed from the levee.
"Debris or overgrown vegetation around levees can dangerously impede flood fighting." Dept. of Water Resources.
Water Leakage map for 95831. Each numbered area is a point of water leakage, April 2006
Leakage continued for several months.
Toxins leaching out of the ground into the gutter and into the river continued for months during March-April 2006
Four Sink Holes opened up in the pocket. This is on Pocket road and was the largest. A sinkhole is a hole in the ground surface which occurs when material below the surface is removed by water. River water was flowing beneath the levees! The pocket almost flooded. See Sanford Study
"These levees are so important that they are under control of local, state, and federal agencies." Dept. of Water Resources
"Strict maintenance of the area around the levee reduces the risk of failure and is vital to protecting your life and property." Department of Water Resources
Any work that could affect the structural integrity of a levee or impedes flood fighting will not be permitted by the State Reclamation Board.
Thickets of trees and bushy plants can obscure the view from the crown to the toe where boils and leaks are most likely to occur. These same plants may also physically impede flood-fighting efforts, such as the construction of ring dikes to control boils, and will interfere with monitoring of problem areas.
Water is seeping OUT of the ground through cracks in the pavement.
Water travels down the utility trenches. Furthest leakage from river:
1 mile. Typical leakage was .3 mile.
The Yolo side levee is wide enough for a 2 lane road. The Pocket side is wide enough for a narrow bike path. No Leakage was observed on the Yolo side directly opposite to the pocket during the winter of 2006. Yet barge after barge of rock was placed on the Yolo side in 2007. None was placed from Garcia bend south (area of largest sinkhole).
Garcia Bend April 2006
River Level at I street 22.4 feet.
Monitor Stage: 25 feet
Danger stage: 31 feet
Flood stage: 32 feet
Why doesn't our pocket levee meet safety criteria published in the pamphlet
"What You Should Know About Your Local Levee", published by the:
Flood Project Inspection Section
Division of Flood Management
Department of Water Resources
The Pocket Levees used to have a Water Side Berm. Most has been eroded away. Few have been replaced.
Buer said the trick "is to keep the ground from exploding under your feet." The river can seep through and under the levees. With high flows applying tremendous hydraulic pressure, water can burst through like a fountain, eroding a levee's backside. To prevent that, authorities plan to add 5 million cubic yards of dirt and rock to thicken the flanks of levees in Natomas.
To my knowledge Natomas did not have any sink-holes during the 2006 season, whereas the Pocket had four.
Vegetation blocks the view for inspection, and makes a flood fight impossible. Such vegetation needs to be removed. Dept of Water Resources.
A levee slope free of obstructions;
"An unobstructed view allows flood fighters to work quickly, effectively and safely - to protect private property and the lives of those living behind the levee." Dept. of Water Resources
Any work to be performed (plants, fences, stairs, etc.) on or within ten feet of a levee must be endorsed by the local maintaining agency, referenced on the front of this pamphlet and permitted by the State Reclamation Board.
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[img]www.protectthepocket.com/image...[/img]
Map of The Pocket. Numbered boxes are locations of levee water leakage during the winter of 2006. There were over 160 separate leakage spots in 95831. The pictures above were taken in the area of highest leakage. This is the area where a slurry wall was built after the high water of 1986 at a cost of $800,000 per mile. The slurry wall was designed (?) to prevent leakage next to the levee. This area is the so-called "private levee" where public access is strictly prohibited.
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Know what is going to happen? KJ and Sacramento and outlying areas are going to go for a swim, from the look of these pathetic levees.
Black Obamney AND KJ and a lot of hoop stars used to smoke pot, before the game, but when they get elected, can they get CO2-neutral biomass prioritized, hey, even if not hemp, but for switchgrass and algae, to be processed, with ultrasound? NO? NO!
Black Obamney is going to help his pal Kevin, Mayor of Sacto, IF black Obamney can get re-elected, since black Obamney conveniently forgot to legalize drugs OR industrial hemp, and he neglected CO2-neutral biomass AND energy policy AND national infrastructure, including these lousy levees, in Sacto County, CA.
But black Obamney and KJ sure did get some good old boo-weed, before those games, dribble-dribble, shoot, blah-blah, woof. So then they got elected. But then comes global climate change, and THEY DON'T DO ANYTHING ABOUT IT. Are they still stoned, to the bone?
Some people don't think we have global warming. Some people don't think people got CO2 past the usual Pleistocene-Holocene maximum, of 280 ppm, all the way to 400 ppm, headed for 1000 ppm+. Some people don't think we are suffering, from related climate change. A LOT OF PEOPLE WILL EAT DEATH. -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Thu, July 12, 2012 - 10:33 PM -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Sat, July 21, 2012 - 4:44 PMWe won't get much relief, from the great drought, of 2012, until the El Nino phase of ENSO clicks in, later this Summer.
When THAT happens, some places will get way, WAY too much rain and snow.
But El Nino should kick in, enough to discourage some Atlantic hurricanes. Gulf canes will be another story, likely.
The great U.S. drought of 2012 continues to accelerate, and grew larger and more intense over the past week, said NOAA in their weekly U.S. Drought Monitor report issued Thursday, July 19. The area of the contiguous U.S. covered by drought expanded from 61% to 64%, and the area covered by severe or greater drought jumped from 37% to 42%. These are truly historic levels of drought, exceeded only during the great Dust Bowl drought of the 1930s and a severe drought in the mid-1950s. If we make the reasonable assumption that the current area covered by drought is representative of what the average for the entire month of July will be (based on the latest drought forecast from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center), the July 2012 drought is second only to the great Dust Bowl drought of July 1934 in terms of the area of the contiguous U.S. covered by moderate or greater drought. The five months with the greatest percent area in moderate or greater drought, since 1895, now look like this:
1) Jul 1934, 80%
2) Jul 2012, 64%
3) Dec 1939, 60%
4) Jul 1954, 60%
5) Dec 1956, 58%
If we consider the area of the contiguous U.S. covered by severe or greater drought, July 2012 ranks in 5th place:
1) Jul 1934, 63%
2) Sep 1954, 50%
3) Dec 1956, 43%
4) Aug 1936, 43%
5) Jul 2012, 42%
www.wunderground.com/blog/Je...html]Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog : Historic 2012 U.S. drought continues to expand and intensify | Weather Underground
icons.wxug.com/hurricane/...t_jul19.gif
icons.wxug.com/hurricane/...sasters.jpg
We're only at the end of July, and already the 2012 drought is shaping up, to crack into the list, of most costly US weather disasters -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Sun, July 22, 2012 - 7:18 PMSEA LEVEL RISE STARTS TO GET OUT OF CONTROL, BY THE 1990s:
www.agu.org/pubs/crossre...2011JC007706. html
We investigate sea level change and variability in part of the Arctic region over the 1950-2009 period. Analysis of 62 long tide gauge records along the Norwegian and Russian coastlines shows that coastal mean sea level in these two areas was almost stable until about 1980 but since then displayed a clear increasing trend, following fluctuations of Arctic Oscillation. After the mid-to-late 1990s the co-fluctuation with the AO disappears, to achieve an increasing trend of ~4 mm/yr since 1995.
Using in situ ocean temperature and salinity data from three different databases, we estimated the thermosteric, halosteric and steric sea level since 1970 in the North Atlantic and Nordic Seas region (incomplete data coverage prevented us to analyze steric data along the Russian coast). We note a strong anti-correlation between the thermosteric and halosteric components both in terms of spatial trends and regionally averaged time series. The latter show a strong change as of ~1995 that indicates increase in temperature and salinity, confirmed by the Empirical Orthogonal Function decomposition.
Regionally steric data are compared to altimetry-based sea level over 1993-2009. Spatial trend patterns of altimetry-based sea level are largely explained by steric patterns, but residual spatial trends suggest that other factors contribute. Focusing on Norwegian tide gauges, we compare observed coastal mean sea level with the steric sea level and the ocean mass component estimated with GRACE gravimetry data (since 2003) and conclude that the mass component partly explains the sustained sea level rise (of ~4 mm/yr) over the altimetry era.
See also: AGW Observer
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Mon, July 23, 2012 - 10:22 AM"already the 2012 drought is shaping up, to crack into the list, of most costly US weather disasters"
and maybe even worse...
US drought could trigger repeat of global food crisis, experts warn
As the mid-west bakes and food prices soar, threats of a ripple effect in the Middle East could lead to more uprisings
Suzanne Goldenberg, US environment correspondent
guardian.co.uk, Monday 23 July 2012 15.30 BST
America's drought threatens a recurrence of the 2008 global food crisis, when soaring prices set off riots and unrest to parts of Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America, food experts warn.
Corn prices reached an all-time high on Friday, as the drought expanded across America, trading at $8.24 a bushel on the Chicago exchange. Soybeans were also trading at record levels.
The US department of agriculture meanwhile predicted there would be less corn coming onto global markets over the next year, because of a sharp drop in US exports.
America is the world's largest producer of corn, dominating the market. Corn is also connected to many food items – as feed for dairy cows or for hogs and beef cattle, as a component in processed food – expanding the impact of those price rises.
That means the effects of the drought will travel far beyond the mid-western states baking under triple-digit temperatures, said Robert Thompson, a food security expert at the Chicago Council of Global Affairs.
"What happens to the US supply has an immense impact around the world. If the price of corn rises high enough, it also pulls up the price of wheat," he said.
He went on: "I think we are in for a very serious situation worldwide."
Some analysts are predicting a repetition of the 2008 protests that swept across Africa and the Middle East, including countries like Egypt, because of food prices.
In 2008, the food shock was due to rising prices for rice and wheat. This time, it's because of corn and soybean, and there were no signs of shortfall in rice or wheat production.
But the full effects of the American drought will likely take several months to emerge. Its severity will be determined by a number of additional risk factors.
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www.guardian.co.uk/environm...od-crisis -
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Re: We face Mass Extinction Event 6, no doubt:
Mon, August 27, 2012 - 2:28 PMRunaway Global Warming will approach, in three phases:
Phase I: AGW is evident, since the 1700s. GHGs are rising, in concentration. Some warming is evident, with a lot of failure, of glaciers, and the degeneration of perennial Arctic ice and permafrost. Oceanic acidification and climate change are evident. Die offs are making the news, and the extinction rate is estimated, at 100 x normal. The northern ice cap is melting, faster, every year, and the northern hemisphere is heating up, faster than is the southern hemisphere, which is a clue, to Phase II. High temp records begin to out-number low temp records, 2-1, then 3-1, in just two years, 2010 to 2012.
Phase II: The northern ice cap melts, completely, one summer, and then it melts, completely, every summer, so more solar energy is absorbed, every northern summer. Warming and melt of Greenland and East Antarctic sheet ice accelerate, with acidification, of water. Jellyfish and algae take over the oceans. High temp records out-number low temp records, 20-1, then 50-1, and more.
Phase III: No perennial ice remains, anywhere on Earth. Temperatures average at least 22 C, with a lot of spikes. Sea level is 70 m above Phase I levels. Heavy lunar tides roll around, on plates, faults, and magma chambers. Seismic and volcanic events wreck the remaining human habitat. NO2 and SO2 join more CO2. The planet can't clear GHGs, for several hundred thousand years, after the likely die-off, of humans.
So read some more:
www.actionbioscience.org/newfr...2.html
M.E.E.6 and M.E.E. 1-5 study samples:
www.mysterium.com/suicidal.htm
www.mysterium.com/fieldguide.html
www.mysterium.com/extinction.html
www5.carleton.ca/directories/search/
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www.skepticalscience.com/news.php
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www.skepticalscience.com/resources.php
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labs.adsabs.harvard.edu/ui/abs...7..459V
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This should keep us all busy, for awhile.
When new peer-reviewed studies, leading to M.E.E.6 are published, skepticalscience.com will be a likely address, to find them, in pdf, or to find a relevant article.
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