Japanese nationals arrested moving $130 Billion in US Treasury bonds to Switzerland

topic posted Sun, June 14, 2009 - 10:51 PM by  cDub
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A bit odd, to say the least. Opinions differ as to whether they are forgeries, although one would have to be really stupid to forge bonds for that much money.

The US media is not reporting it, natch.

market-ticker.org/archives/...Bonds.html

zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/0...nt.html

zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/0...lt.html
posted by:
cDub
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    • "If the securities are found to be genuine, the individuals could be fined 40 percent of the total value for attempting to take them out of the country without declaring them, the Asahi said. "


      FUCK!!!!


      Someone's going to be getting their pay docked over that one
      • that is whoopee totally crazy. . .how are they going to pay for that? selling plasma at the blood bank?
        • theories on this:

          japanese gov't was dumping its treasury holdings on the sly

          banks loaning bonds to fool inspectors

          north korean counterfeiters

          ...???
          • The NK angle seems to be the most plausible to me. I guess it's the high level of ineptitude involved, and the hunch dear leader found some inspiration in "Charlie Chan in Paris"
            • lol. . .i love it. .
              • die hard
                • the reason the counterfeit angle makes no sense is because the amount is too high.

                  i mean, maybe so but you have to be one dumb mark to buy a fake bond thats worth that much. of course the fed would validate it before paying out.

                  also, why japanese nationals in italy? explain.
                  • This is the maximum depth. Additional responses will not be threaded.
                    "i mean, maybe so but you have to be one dumb mark to buy a fake bond thats worth that much. of course the fed would validate it before paying out."

                    True.


                    "also, why japanese nationals in italy? explain. "

                    Last i heard their place of origin was still in question, but if that has changed, it would make my theory pretty unlikely



                    If that was the case, the japs dumping their bonds might be the most likely scenario. Considering the recent actions of China and Russia


                    What are your thoughts?
                    • >What are your thoughts?

                      japanese finance minister came out on friday saying how much trust he has in treasuries....

                      www.bloomberg.com/apps/news

                      Yosano Says Japan’s Trust in Treasuries ‘Unshakable’ (Update2)
                      Share | Email | Print | A A A

                      By Keiko Ujikane and Takashi Hirokawa

                      June 12 (Bloomberg) -- Japanese Finance Minister Kaoru Yosano said his government is confident about the outlook for U.S. Treasuries, signaling the second-biggest foreign holder of the securities will keep buying them amid record sales.

                      “We have complete trust in the fact that the U.S. views its strong-dollar policy as fundamental,” Yosano, 70, said in an interview in Tokyo on June 10 before attending a Group of Eight meeting of finance ministers starting today in Italy. “So our trust in U.S. Treasuries is absolutely unshakable.”

                      China and Russia, the largest and third-largest single holders of the debt, have said they may switch some of their reserves out of Treasuries, and economist Nouriel Roubini said yesterday the dollar won’t always be the world’s reserve currency. Treasury yields fell today after Yosano’s remarks, retreating from a seven-month high.

                      “Japan is, of course, mindful that selling Treasuries will cause the yen to strengthen and that would hurt corporate profits,” said Chotaro Morita, chief strategist in Tokyo at Barclays Capital Japan Ltd. in Tokyo. “Even with their strong ties, it’s possible Japan would consider selling U.S. Treasuries should the dollar say, halve in value.”
                      • better the japanese own us than the chinese. .
                        • the us/european banking cartel owns us.

                          china holds pieces of paper the cartel can print more of at will.
                          • Y'all really think that official Japanese owners would entrust so much money to some guys driving around Europe? Really? I mean, why not buy a brand new Boeing 777 and fly them somewhere?

                            Come on...

                            <The US media is not reporting it, natch.>

                            Maybe because this will end up as a non-story? A bullshit bit of interesting criminal enterprise?
                            • uh...so forged US treasury bonds in the amount of $134B aren't a story?

                              come off it. the US media is just doing its typical job which is to only report what the US government wants reported. you're such a good little brainwashee.
                              • <uh...so forged US treasury bonds in the amount of $134B aren't a story?>

                                Point taken.
                                • Doesn't it bother anybody that this story, which is a significant one, if true, has not been picked up by any other media anywhere?

                                  I mean I understand that you all despise and disregard the mainstream media, (unless, of course, what it says it is boiled down and regurgitated for you in Colbert, the Daily Show, some blog post, message board item or a module on a wingnut or moonbat webpage.) That goes without saying -- the corporate media, government bootlickers, censorship, etc, etc.

                                  I got the memo.

                                  But nobody running with this outside the fringe? Not the Guardian? Not Times of London? None of the London tabs? Not Die Welt, L'Osservetori Romano, Match? Not any of the major papers in Europe?

                                  Doesn't that seem a little bit strange?

                                  Can somebody explain to me why that is? I mean does the Bilderberger conspiracy that Sunnelly is always prattling on about control every news outlet in the world, including Al Jazeera, Al Arabiya and TASS?
                                  • >Can somebody explain to me why that is? I mean does the Bilderberger conspiracy that Sunnelly is always prattling on about control every news outlet in the world, including Al Jazeera, Al Arabiya and TASS?

                                    Possibly. However its my understanding that Asian and European newspapers HAVE covered this story. The blackout is mainly a US phenomenon.

                                    A google news search shows that Bloomberg (the only US media outlet worth a damn) and foreign papers cover it. Also US blogs and alt media.

                                    news.google.com/news
                                    • {Possibly. However its my understanding that Asian and European newspapers HAVE covered this story. The blackout is mainly a US phenomenon}

                                      I can't find any mention of it anywhere. Has anybody seen any of the European coverage? I am looking for it and it just does not seem to be out there...
                                      • I mean, look at that google search string you sent me. Two pages, and a bunch of the hits are repeaters.
                                        • Either this is a monstrously huge story that has been utterly and completely suppressed or it is a story that is utterly bogusireeno. (I mean a two-page Google search string result is tantamount to something not ever having happened. You get more results than that off nothing),
                                          • I just spent some serious time looking for any hits using the search string "japanese nationals treasury securities arrest" and I could only come up with hits on the wing nut circuit -- everything from ron paul to ayn rand.

                                            There wasn't a single legitimate site with any credibility that had anything on that story.

                                            I repeat, either it is a humongous scam that has been completely suppressed in a way that only Sunnely can begin to understand or the story is utter bullshit. I suspect the latter.

                                            I am willing to be educated but at this point I think this is one for Scopes to work on as a bit of urban folklore neatly promulgated by the aluminum foil hat brigade.

                                          • This post was deleted by d'zoner
                                          • It's the wording, Billowski.

                                            Wed, June 17, 2009 - 6:02 AM
                                            <Either this is a monstrously huge story that has been utterly and completely suppressed or it is a story that is utterly bogusireeno. (I mean a two-page Google search string result is tantamount to something not ever having happened. You get more results than that off nothing), .

                                            I just googled '134 billion US' and these immediately came up. Not exactly your pajama wearing conspiracy bloggers.

                                            www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...7161.ece
                                            www.bloomberg.com/apps/news
                                            www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...893.html

                                            You might consider refining your Google search procedure.

                                            The story was reportedly initially headlined splashed across italy's papers and other media and as rapidly disappeared. Not exactly a surprise as Berlusconi owns 95% of the Italian media and massive pressure almost certainly immediately issued from Washington to tamp down the story.

                                            An asian site pointed out the amount EXACTLY matched the amount the treasury department declared was left unspent from the TARP program and adaiting disposition.
                                            • Re: It's the wording, Billowski.

                                              Wed, June 17, 2009 - 2:36 PM
                                              www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...7161.ece
                                              www.bloomberg.com/apps/news
                                              www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...893.html


                                              I tried all those links. Not one of them led to any stories about $134 billion US anythings. Link one leads to an error page. Link two leads to Bloomberg but there is no content. Link three leads to a story about the Berlin Wall.

                                              I rest my case. This story is what H.L. Mencken used to call buncombe.
                                              • Re: It's the wording, Billowski.

                                                Wed, June 17, 2009 - 6:20 PM
                                                <I tried all those links. Not one of them led to any stories about $134 billion US anythings. Link one leads to an error page. Link two leads to Bloomberg but there is no content. Link three leads to a story about the Berlin Wall.>

                                                That's why it's a conspiracy, Bill. The first link was pulled, and the other two were re-directed to no mention the actual situation...

                                                <The mind boggles at the machinations of the tin-foil hat brigade...>

                                                Don't talk to cDubity like that, you'll hurt his feeling.

                                                <This is a crime story, so why do all the details one normally sees in a crime story seem to be absent from this one?>

                                                Because of the conspiracy, of course.

                                                That said, it would be interesting to see a legit news group at least call Japan or Italy and ask if this story is real or not.
                                            • Re: It's the wording, Billowski.

                                              Wed, June 17, 2009 - 2:39 PM
                                              {The story was reportedly initially headlined splashed across italy's papers and other media and as rapidly disappeared. Not exactly a surprise as Berlusconi owns 95% of the Italian media and massive pressure almost certainly immediately issued from Washington to tamp down the story.

                                              An asian site pointed out the amount EXACTLY matched the amount the treasury department declared was left unspent from the TARP program and adaiting disposition. )

                                              I am as dubious about the unspecified "Asian site" as I am about the rest of this particular post. Berlusconi doesn't own any of the publications that I mentioned. And why would Al Jazeera or Al Arabiya respond to anything that Washington asked them to do?

                                              The mind boggles at the machinations of the tin-foil hat brigade...
                                              • Re: It's the wording, Billowski.

                                                Wed, June 17, 2009 - 2:48 PM
                                                To quote cDub in a post below, don't you think $134 billion in U.S. securities is a story?

                                                Well, apparently nobody in any of the world's media does because there has been not one word of follow up to this story.

                                                On the other hand, the versions that appear on all those half assed blogs linked in earlier posts are curious to me for at least two reasons.

                                                First, there is no attribution of any of the information in them. No police, prosecutors or government officials of any kind are quoted or even named in the story. That is the first sign of a story based on sources close to somebody's imagination.

                                                Second, the only information about this noteworthy bust is that it occurred in a town on the border. No time of day or even day is given for the arrest. No details about why the arrests were made. No specific place where the alleged Japanese nationals were taken into custody. No mention of where they are to be arraigned, or where they are being held, or where they are ultimately going to be send for trial. More evidence of a concocted story.

                                                This is a crime story, so why do all the details one normally sees in a crime story seem to be absent from this one?
                                                • Re: It's the wording, Billowski.

                                                  Wed, June 17, 2009 - 7:22 PM
                                                  Bill: eat my shorts.

                                                  www.bloomberg.com/apps/news

                                                  Suitcase With $134 Billion Puts Dollar on Edge: William Pesek
                                                  Share | Email | Print | A A A

                                                  Commentary by William Pesek

                                                  June 17 (Bloomberg) -- It’s a plot better suited for a John Le Carre novel.

                                                  Two Japanese men are detained in Italy after allegedly attempting to take $134 billion worth of U.S. bonds over the border into Switzerland. Details are maddeningly sketchy, so naturally the global rumor mill is kicking into high gear.

                                                  Are these would-be smugglers agents of Kim Jong Il stashing North Korea’s cash in a Swiss vault? Bagmen for Nigerian Internet scammers? Was the money meant for terrorists looking to buy nuclear warheads? Is Japan dumping its dollars secretly? Are the bonds real or counterfeit?

                                                  The implications of the securities being legitimate would be bigger than investors may realize. At a minimum, it would suggest that the U.S. risks losing control over its monetary supply on a massive scale.

                                                  The trillions of dollars of debt the U.S. will issue in the next couple of years needs buyers. Attracting them will require making sure that existing ones aren’t losing faith in the U.S.’s ability to control the dollar.

                                                  The dollar is, for better or worse, the core of our world economy and it’s best to keep it stable. News that’s more fitting for international spy novels than the financial pages won’t help that effort. It is incumbent upon the U.S. Treasury to get to the bottom of this tale and keep markets informed.

                                                  GDP Carriers

                                                  Think about it: These two guys were carrying the gross domestic product of New Zealand or enough for three Beijing Olympics. If economies were for sale, the men could buy Slovakia and Croatia and have plenty left over for Mongolia or Cambodia. Yes, they could have built vacation homes amidst Genghis Khan’s Gobi Desert or the famed Temples of Angkor. Bernard Madoff who?

                                                  These men carrying bonds concealed in the bottom of their luggage also would be the fourth-largest U.S. creditors. It makes you wonder if some of the time Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner spends keeping the Chinese and Japanese invested in dollars should be devoted to well-financed men crossing the Italian-Swiss border.
                                      • When i first heard about the story, I tried to track down some sources on it, but all i could turn up was mostly limited to the blogosphere. If I remember right, i tracked down one paper that did a small bit on it, but it was totally devoid of any real details.
                                        • had a few minutes to kill, and was able to find these

                                          <<<Two Japanese were detained by Italian financial police last week after trying to enter Switzerland with $134 billion worth of undeclared U.S. bonds, mostly Treasury bonds, an Italian newspaper reported Wednesday.

                                          The Japanese Consulate General in Milan acknowledged that two people had been detained, but it was still trying to confirm with Italian authorities their identities and whether they are Japanese nationals.

                                          According to the report in il Giornale, two unidentified Japanese in their 50s concealed the bonds, including 249 U.S. Treasury bonds worth $500 million each, in a suitcase with a false bottom. The bonds were found June 3 during a search by Italian authorities in Chiasso, on the border with Switzerland about 50 km north of Milan.

                                          The newspaper did not say on what grounds the two were detained, but they may have been held on suspicion of attempting to take a large amount of securities out of Italy without declaring them.

                                          It said the Italian authorities were investigating whether the securities are genuine, given their huge value.

                                          If the bonds are genuine, the two could be fined around 40 percent of their total value, it said.>>>

                                          search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-bi...a2.html


                                          This looks pretty fake
                                          www.youtube.com/watch


                                          Of course this does nothing for the stories credibility, but I felt bad leaving it out
                                          www.youtube.com/watch

                                  • <Can somebody explain to me why that is? I mean does the Bilderberger conspiracy that Sunnelly is always prattling on about control every news outlet in the world, including Al Jazeera, Al Arabiya and TASS?>

                                    This is a good question. Maybe they simply don't know about it? Maybe they are doing research before spending their time on the story? Maybe it's a bunk story?

                                    < yes the arrest is a bit suspicious - the italians had to be tipped off.>

                                    Not true at all. Maybe the people arrested were acting nervous and THAT tipped off the cops?

                                    <Either this is a monstrously huge story that has been utterly and completely suppressed or it is a story that is utterly bogusireeno.>

                                    Well. I'd vote for "bogusireeno".

                                    <This posting was deleted by d'zider™>

                                    Another deleted post. What the hell is this guy censoring?

                                    <An asian site pointed out the amount EXACTLY matched the amount the treasury department declared was left unspent from the TARP program and adaiting disposition.>

                                    Uh oh. The stuff which conspiracy is made of.
                                    • This post was deleted by d'zoner
  • .
    This came out only 20 min ago...
    If one reads between the line - they still dont know if they are fake or not...

    .

    ITAILAN MAFIA CASHES IN ON FAKE T-BILLS
    By FT reporters

    Published: June 19 2009 03:00 | Last updated: June 19 2009 03:00
    www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f200...4feabdc0.html

    One summer afternoon, two "Japanese" men in their 50s on a slow train from Italy to Switzerland said they had nothing to declare at the frontier point of Chiasso. But in a false bottom of one of their suitcases, Italian customs officers and ministry of finance police discovered a staggering $134bn in US Treasury bills.

    Whether the men are really Japanese, as their passports declare, is not entirely clear, but Italian and US secret services working together soon concluded that the bills and accompanying bank documents were most probably counterfeit, the latest han-diwork of the Italian Mafia.

    Few details have been revealed beyond a June 4 statement by the Italian finance police announcing the seizure of 249 US Treasury bills, each of $500m, and 10 "Kennedy" bonds, used as inter-government payments, of $1bn each. The men were apparently tailed by the Italian authorities.

    Yesterday the mystery deepened as an Italian blog quoted Colonel Rodolfo Mecarelli of the Como provincial finance police as saying the two men had been released. The colonel and police headquarters in Rome both declined to respond to questions from the Financial Times.

    "They are all fraudulent, it's obvious. We don't even have paper securities outstanding for that value,'' said Mckayla Braden, senior adviser for public affairs at the Bureau of Public Debt at the US Treasury department. "This type of scam has been going on for years.''

    The Treasury has not issued physical Treasury bonds since the 1980s - they are handled electronically - though they still issue savings bonds in paper format.

    In Washington a US Secret Service official said the agency, which is working with the Italian authorities, believed the bonds were fake.

    Officials in Tokyo were nonplussed. Takeshi Akamatsu, a Japanese foreign ministry press secretary, said Italian authorities had confirmed that two men carrying Japanese passports had been questioned in the bond case, but that Tokyo had not been informed of their names or current whereabouts.

    "We don't know where they are now," Mr Akamatsu said.

    Italian officials, while pointing out that hauls of counterfeit money and Treasury bills were not unusual, were stunned by the amount involved. Investigators are looking into the origin and destination of the fakes.

    Last month Italian prosecutors revealed they had cracked a $1bn bond scam run by the Sicilian Mafia, with the alleged aid of corrupt officials in Venezuela's central bank. Twenty people were arrested in four countries.

    The fake bonds were to have been used as collateral to open credit lines with banks, Reuters news agency reported. The Venezuelan central bank denied the accusations.By FT staff in Rome, Tokyo, New York and Washington

    Fall in jobless claims raises hopes

    The number of US citizens claiming unemployment benefits fell for the first time since January, the labour department said yesterday, raising hopes the worst could be over for the stricken job market.

    Continuing jobless claims declined by 148,000 to 6.69m in the first week of June, more than economists expected and marking the biggest weekly drop since 2001. The total number of US workers claiming unemployment benefits had hit new record highs for 19 straight weeks.

    However, new jobless claims ticked up last week, offering a reminder that any employment recovery will be slow and that companies are continuing to cull workers as they cope with the recession. Initial jobless claims rose by 3,000 last week to 608,000 as layoffs mounted in the construction and car industries.

    Joshua Shapiro, chief US economist at MFR, noted the probability that "long-term unemployed are starting to fall off the rolls as the duration of their unemployment benefits reaches the statutory limit".


    Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2009



    .
    . .
    • .
      I just saw this on Benjamin Fulfords blog, reg the Italian Mafia and Japan:

      "33rd degree freemason promises the illuminati will change for the better

      A 33rd degree freemason visiting Japan as a representative of the Italian illuminati says the secret organization knows it will be losing power. They are very confused and worried about what is going to happen after they lose power, he says. One faction wants to blackmail the world with destructive weapons. Another faction wants to negotiate with people in the “profane” world (ie us unwashed masses). A third faction thinks it is end times and that we must wait for the Messiah.

      My suggestion was that they stage a fake Armaggedon show so they can get all this apocalyptic stuff out of their system and the world can return to sanity. My belief is that future generations will conclude that the Messiah was the awakening of the global group mind via the internet.

      In any case, I was invited to Italy to talk to the heads of the illuminati. These include people who claim to control the Jewish, Christian and Muslim faiths. It might be worth visiting to see if they are willing to appear before a truth commission as well as support a campaign to end poverty and stop environmental destruction."

      Trackback:
      www.typepad.com/services/t...0ec3c7a970b

      .
      . .
      • .

        VIDEOS: FULFORD: Interviews with Leo the Illuminati and Princess Nakamaru of Japan

        "Right after Ben Fulford had his interview with Leo the Illuminati representative,
        he had another interview with Princess Nakamaru of Japan,
        while he gave Ben 10 minutes, he gave this lady almost 30 minutes.

        She asks him important questions
        that I think your readers would be interested in hearing this Illuminati representative talks about.

        She talks about the spirtual soul of people, about meeting with Al Gore royal family in Washington DC
        where she was shown the actual documents to kill 50% of the worlds populations,
        and when she mentions UFO\'s, Leo stated that they have been here for 1000\'s of years.

        I believe she is part of the group that works with Fulford to expose the secrets of these people.

        It is a postive interview and will help many people see what has."

        Copied from:
        www.fourwinds10.com/siterun_.../news.php

        //

        Princess Kaoru Nakamaru of Japan has traveled to 186 countries to meet world leaders,
        royalty and business tycoons to promote world peace.
        She has published 40 books and describes her personal spiritual outlook on life and the after-life.

        In parts 2 and 3 of her interview,
        the Princess talks with Prince Leo Lyon Zagami of Santa Elia, Sicily who visited Japan recently.

        MW Bro Leo Lyon Zagami 33° AASR Piazza del Gesu' (Alliata lineage)
        Supreme Magus of the R+C+ of the italian Pytagoric Tradition
        Grand Master of the Ordo illuminatorum Universalis

        part 1 www.youtube.com/watch

        part 2 www.youtube.com/watch

        part 3 www.youtube.com/watch



        FULFORD VS. ILLUMINATI - part 1
        www.youtube.com/watch

        FULFORD VS. ILLUMINATI - part 2
        www.youtube.com/watch

        .
        . .
        • .
          So, now after reading watching this - LETS JUST FOR A MOMENT - please, CONTEMPLATE
          that this is 'real'..... even if it is 'far away' from your personal view -

          IF there is an 'Elite' who have power and connections into 'shadow government' -
          worldwide... and their point of view is the following:

          "...// the secret organization knows it will be losing power.
          They are very confused and worried about what is going to happen after they lose power, he says.
          One faction wants to blackmail the world with destructive weapons.
          Another faction wants to negotiate with people in the “profane” world (ie us unwashed masses).
          A third faction thinks it is end times and that we must wait for the Messiah.

          (Fulford:)
          My suggestion was that they stage a fake Armaggedon show (( Project Bluebeam? - my note, Sunnely ))
          so they can get all this apocalyptic stuff out of their system and the world can return to sanity.
          My belief is that future generations will conclude that the Messiah
          was the awakening of the global group mind via the internet." //

          *********************************************************************

          SO - contemplate now - that this is 'true'...

          IF these powergroups are in panic now... how can we TOGETHER solve this -
          worldwide enormous problem to avoid mass-deaths... ?
          Can we discuss AMNESTY and REPARABLE JUSTICE somehow ?
          Or, do you prefer an 'Armageddon' to please the religious fantatics ?

          .
          Teilhard de Chardin:
          (( WE ARE NOT HUMAN BEINGS, WITH SPRITUAL EXPERIENCES -
          WE ARE SPIRITUAL BEINGS, WITH HUMAN EXPERIENCES... ))

          en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Teil...de_Chardin
          www.nndb.com/people/174/000115826/

          ( Pierre Teilhard de Chardin (1 May 1881 – 10 April 1955, New York City)
          was a French philosopher and Jesuit priest who trained as a paleontologist and geologist
          and took part in the discovery of Peking Man. Teilhard conceived the idea of the Omega Point
          and developed Vladimir Vernadsky's concept of Noosphere.

          Teilhard's primary book, The Phenomenon of Man, set forth a sweeping account of the unfolding of the cosmos. He abandoned traditional interpretations of creation in the Book of Genesis in favor of a less strict interpretation. This displeased certain officials in the Roman Curia, who thought that it undermined the doctrine of original sin developed by Saint Augustine. Teilhard's position was opposed by his church superiors, and his work was denied publication during his lifetime by the Roman Holy Office.

          The 1950 encyclical HUMANI GENERIS condemned several of Teilhard's opinions, while leaving other questions open.)

          .
          . .
  • .
    Hal Turner and the $134 B US Treasury Bonds/Notes?

    ----- Original Message -----
    From: Dimce Giorgief
    To:
    Sent: Friday, June 19, 2009 1:04 PM
    Subject: Hal Turner and the $134B US Treasury Bonds/Notes?

    June 19, 2009

    Dear Mr. Turner:


    turnerradionetwork.com/index.php


    (( PS - JUST CHECKED THAT LINK - "ITS DOWN FOR MAINTENANCE" - AND NOT ALLOWED TO VIEW THIS RECOURSE" - Sunnely ))


    Many people around the world are following the story of the mysterious $134B US Treasury Bonds/Notes? Myself included. It is also very interesting that you state and I quote, “it is now confirmed based upon the serial numbers of the Bonds, that the $134 Billion is part of the $686 billion of U.S. debt officially held by Japan.”


    That is a very powerful statement and you must realize that it is detrimental to the United States of America, if indeed this is the case? Can you provide any evidence to back up this claim or is it an under cover source? This story is mysterious and the MSM seems to ignore it completely. In addition, the alternative news media have reported this story and with a few exceptions nobody knows if the treasuries are real. The few exceptions that claim they are real, also claim they are Federal Reserve US Debt Obligation Certificates dated 1933 / 34.


    It would be a great justice to humanity, if evidence was provided and that these ‘instruments’ were shown to the world?


    Best Regards, DG
    P.S. I am sending this letter to a few of my friends.

    .
    . .
  • IS THIS THE DEATH OF THE DOLLAR?

    Sat, June 20, 2009 - 8:35 PM
    .
    This is posted 7 hours ago in the prominent UK newspaper TELEGRAPH

    IS THIS THE DEATH OF THE DOLLAR?
    www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/...llar.html

    After two smugglers were stopped last week with what at first appeared to be $134bn in US state bonds,
    the tension and paranoia surrounding the fate of the dollar hit a new high.

    By Edmund Conway
    Published: 7:32PM BST 20 Jun 2009

    Border guards in Chiasso see plenty of smugglers and plenty of false-bottomed suitcases,
    but no one in the town, which straddles the Italian-Swiss frontier, had ever seen anything like this.

    Trussed up in front of the police in the train station were two Japanese men,
    and beside them a suitcase with a booty unlike any other.
    Concealed at the bottom of the bag were some rather incredible sheets of paper.
    The documents were apparently dollar-denominated US government bonds with a face value of a staggering $134bn (£81bn).

    How on earth did these two men, who at first refused to identify themselves, come to be there,
    trying to ride the train into Switzerland carrying bonds worth more than the gross domestic product of Singapore?

    If the bonds were genuine, the pair would have been America's fourth-biggest creditor,
    ahead of the UK and just behind Russia.

    No sooner had the story leaked out from the Italian lakes region last week than it sparked a panoply of conspiracy tales.
    But one resounded more than any other: that the men were agents of the Japanese finance ministry,
    in the country for the G8 meeting, making a surreptitious journey into Switzerland
    to sell off one small chunk of the massive mountain of US bonds stacked up in the Japanese Treasury vaults.


    In the event, late last week American officials confirmed that the notes were forgeries.
    The men, it appeared, were nothing more than ambitious scamsters. But many remain unconvinced.

    And whether fake or otherwise, the story underlines one important point about the world economy at the moment:
    that the tension and paranoia surrounding the fate of the US dollar has hit a new high.

    It went to the heart of the big question: will the central bankers in Japan, China and elsewhere
    continue to support the greenback even in the wake of the worst financial crisis in modern history,
    or will they abandon it as America's economic hegemony dissipates?



    Dollar obituaries are nothing new.
    The currency has been presumed dead more times than Shane Macgowan.

    But like the lead singer of The Pogues, the greenback has somehow withstood repeated knocks and scrapes
    over the years and lived on, battered, bruised and a couple of teeth the lighter, to fight another day.

    In the 1970s and 1980s there were plenty predicting its demise,
    although at that point the main challenger was the Japanese yen.

    And in the years preceding this crisis, economists and investors including Peter Schiff and George Soros
    were lining up to declare the dollar's demise as the world's reserve currency.
    In the late 1990s, the creation of the euro gave dollar sceptics another stick to beat the currency with,
    and no doubt the European currency has claimed some of the prominence in its first decade.



    Now, following the collapse of the global financial system, those warnings have become louder still,
    and ever more difficult to dismiss – because this time around there are threatening noises
    coming from those who actually have the power to do something about it.


    First came a paper from Zhou Xiaochuan, the governor of the People's Bank of China (PBoC),
    a couple of months ago, positing the idea of introducing the special drawing right (SDR)
    – a kind of internal currency at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) – as an international reserve currency.

    These calls were then repeated, with more force, by the Russian president, Dmitry Medvedev,
    who last week declared that the world needed new reserve currencies in addition to the dollar.


    And this time around, the dollar is most certainly suffering.

    Since 2002 its trade-weighted strength – calculated against a basket of other currencies
    – has fallen by more than a quarter, from 112 to 81 points.

    In the same period, the proportion of dollars held by reserve managers in leading central banks
    has also taken a dive. According to figures from the IMF, confirmed holdings of dollars in government vaults,
    from Beijing and Tokyo to London and Paris, fell from 71pc of reserves to 64.5pc between 2002 and 2008.


    However, detecting what is really happening in the world of foreign exchange reserves
    is notoriously closer to an art than a science. For instance, figures from April seemed to suggest
    a fall in China's holdings of US Treasuries – something 'dollapocalypticists' pounced on at the time.

    But according to Brad Setser of the Council on Foreign Relations,
    the country was merely rejigging its Treasury portfolio rather than liquidating parts of it.

    In such an opaque world
    it is little wonder the conspiracy theories over those two Japanese smugglers show little sign of dissipating.


    Nonetheless, for US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner,
    who has inherited his predecessors' role as dollar wallah-in-chief,
    the currency's travails have made it all the more difficult for him to repeat the mantra
    that he "believes in a strong dollar" while keeping a straight face.

    Indeed, when he tried to insist at a university lecture in Beijing earlier this month that
    "Chinese financial assets are very safe," it drew floods of laughter from the audience.

    He wasn't playing for laughs, but the irony of the situation is plain to see.
    If there were a textbook list of actions one could take to weaken a currency,
    the US (alongside most other developed nations) would be following it to the letter.

    It has cut interest rates to a whisker above zero; it has engaged in quantitative easing,
    pumping cash directly into the economy; it has committed to spending trillions of dollars
    on a fiscal stimulus package designed to pull the country out of recession;
    it has pledged tacitly to support its stricken banks so that no major institution is allowed to collapse.

    In any normal circumstances, actions like these would hammer a currency.



    According to Stephen Jen of BlueGold Capital Management:
    "People are having second thoughts not simply because they don't like the dollar,
    but they are having second thoughts about whether US assets are obviously the strongest assets to own."


    Like everything else, the currency's fate depends on how well the US authorities manage the crisis.
    The US is balanced on a knife-edge between possible Japan-style deflation
    as the weight of all its debts bear down on it and potential inflation
    as the force of all its powerful stimulus measures take root.
    No one knows for sure which way it will fall, but neither would be particularly good for the currency,
    and by extension for those who hold much in the way of dollar assets.


    And China and all other major central banks which have trillions of dollars in their vaults,
    face something of a dilemma. Any fall in the greenback will cause the value of their investments to slide.

    Even if they wanted to exit, there seems no easy way of doing so without provoking some serious self-harm.

    Indeed, according to Olivier Accominotti, a PhD economist at Paris's Sciences Po university,
    the situation is not unlike that faced by France in the 1920s, as it sought to reduce its massive sterling reserves.
    The Bank of France found itself in a "sterling trap" in which it "could not continue selling pounds
    without precipitating a sterling collapse and a huge exchange loss for itself".


    Neil Mellor, of Bank of New York Mellon, said:
    "We've got a situation where Geithner is smiling
    and has no choice but to stress the credibility and stability of the US financial and economic system,
    while the creditors [such as the Chinese] smile back and say they believe him,
    while at the same time giving hand signals to their reserve managers to get rid of these things."


    Rather like the brinksmanship on display throughout the Cold War,
    it is a dilemma which applies itself to game theory. Both sides know that the dollar is set to weaken,
    but both could be set to suffer if they both allowed it to collapse at the same time.

    "If you are the Chinese it is in your interest to play the game – you've got a lot of dollars at stake
    – but in the long run you surely want to reduce your holdings and diversify them at the margins," says Mellor.


    Still, with every passing week,
    the conjunction of different warning signals for the US currency seems to evolve and intensify.

    Recently, the alarm bell ringing most loudly has been the increase in yields on US Treasuries
    – a sign, some fear, of acute nervousness among institutional investors
    about the sheer scale of the cash the Obama administration is planning to borrow in coming years.

    The Federal Reserve's meeting next week is likely to be watched attentively by everyone with a stake in the game,
    as the central bank indicates whether it is planning to plough more dollars of newly-created cash into the economy.

    But while the debate fixates on the greenback, the issues at heart here go far deeper.

    The dollar's fate is intertwined with that of the global economy.
    America is on the brink of losing its economic superpower status,
    which it will have to share with China at least, if not others, in the coming years.

    Holding such a position confers important responsibilities,
    none of which is more symbolic than providing the world's reserve currency
    – the currency against which all major commodities are denominated,
    and the de facto international unit of exchange in trade and finance.


    It was a position enjoyed by UK sterling during the first waves of globalisation
    in the Victorian era and the final decades of the British Empire.

    Eventually, around the time of the Second World War, the dollar inherited the mantle.
    At first this was something enshrined in the Bretton Woods agreement of 1944,
    which fixed world currencies to the dollar, but although that system broke down in the 1960s and 1970s,
    it has remained the de facto currency of choice.


    In a globalised world,
    with trade being carried out between hundreds of different nations by thousands of different companies,
    having an international standard makes sense:
    it enables traders to exchange goods more quickly and efficiently than they would have done otherwise.

    It may be invisible to us, but the vast majority of foreign exchange transactions
    – particularly those between smaller nations – involve the dollar.

    Exchange your sterling for Thai baht and you're actually swapping pounds for dollars for baht,
    whatever the exchange booth says. Even the much-vaunted exchange arrangements by the Brazilian
    and Chinese are designed not to disrupt these foundations, but merely to smooth things over for importers and exporters.



    But a by-product of the dollar's dominance has been the skewing of the world's monetary system.
    By dint of having this blessed position, the US has been able to finance ever-larger current account and fiscal deficits,
    with both the government and the public borrowing from overseas, at cheap rates of interest.

    It has been able to sell US Treasuries at interest rates that other countries can only dream of
    because of this position as reserve currency. It has had a captive consumer
    – both because its government bonds are something of a safe haven
    and because those wishing to peg their currencies against the dollar
    and enhance their trade flows have little choice but to buy US Treasuries.


    And this mutated international monetary system
    that has evolved since the 1960s is largely responsible for the crisis into which the world has tipped.
    Because it was able to borrow off other countries at such low rates without enduring the market punishment
    – in other words higher interest rates –
    America was able to build up massive current account deficits which poured a record amount of debt
    throughout its economy, which manifested itself in the financial crisis.


    Indeed, as Mervyn King said in a speech earlier this year:

    ..........."At the heart of the crisis was the problem identified but not solved at Bretton Woods
    – the need to impose symmetric obligations on countries that run persistent current account surpluses
    and not just on countries that run deficits. From that failure stemmed a chain of events,
    no one of which alone appeared to threaten stability,
    but which taken together led to the worst financial crisis any of us can recall."



    When the PBoC's Zhou referred to the SDRs he was not merely questioning the dollar's pre-eminence.

    He was indicating something far more radical
    – that China supports plans for a new Bretton Woods-style agreement to manage the flows of cash around the world.

    At that seminal conference in 1944,
    John Maynard Keynes's original idea, which was watered down by Harry Dexter White of the US Treasury,
    was for an international reserve currency, Bancor, fixed against a basket of 30 currencies,
    and that countries would be penalised if their current accounts swung too far into surplus or deficit.

    It is an idea which is now being dusted off from history books by officials in finance ministries around the world,
    including in China.


    Such a radical shake-up would cause earthquakes in the currency markets,
    a prospect which perhaps makes it unlikely.

    So in the absence of such a deal, how is the dollar's role likely to evolve in the coming years?
    The short answer is that no one should expect it to lose its reserve currency status any time soon.
    It took around half a century for Britain to cede this position to the US,
    even after being overtaken in true economic might.


    One possibility is that the SDR may be used increasingly as a means of denominating assets in accounts,
    but this is something which would take place gradually, over a course of some years.


    But even if that is a bridge towards a multi-polar world,
    in which other currencies vie with the dollar for influence, it will take some time
    – perhaps 30 years or more, according to Stephen Jen. "People should look at history," he said,
    referring to sterling's pre-eminence in the first part of the 20th century. "There's a real incumbency advantage."


    Jim O'Neill, chief economist at Goldman Sachs, sees the next few years as something of a "vacuum period".


    "The BRIC countries [Brazil, Russia, India and China] are becoming so much more important,
    while the G7, including the US declines, which raises issues about the degree of dominance of the dollar.
    The problem is that the currencies of the BRICS are the ones that matter,
    but they won't let you export or use their currencies.


    "Until we see another five years' of evidence over whether China is a more consumer-driven economy,
    becoming bigger and bigger, and whether the euro can have a successful second decade,
    the dollar looks set to remain dominant."


    China has made some hints about loosening its hold over the yuan in recent months,
    but these are only early manoeuvres. A second step would be to allow the yuan to become a part of the SDR
    – whose own value is determined by those of a basket of currencies including the dollar, pound and euro.
    As Jen adds, there are certain prerequisites any contender to the crown of world reserve currency needs in its pocket.


    "We have to ask this question:
    is Russia going to provide asset market that will be as liquid, reliable property rights,
    the rule of law, currency convertibility and so on?
    Will we see the same from the likes of China? Their task is very daunting."


    Referring to the forged Treasury bonds picked up on the Japanese smugglers on the Swiss border, he adds:

    "There is a message here: we haven't heard much about anyone counterfeiting roubles.
    That is probably telling you something."



    .
    . . I think its suitable to end this article with the themesong of 'Impossible Mission' ; )

    www.youtube.com/watch

    .
    . .

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