I everyone knows that I love the economic quackery that we are now dealing in but if just for laughs please take a look at this St. Louis Federal Reserve chart
research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/...OGNONBR
research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/...OGNONBR
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 2:32 PMA simple translation of this chat shows that we do not have any reserves which in our fiat banking system is not an ideal situation, insert cough/choke here, and it seems once again that the the present kabuki primaries we are suffering through is really meant to keep this off the average joe/janes radar.
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 2:34 PMOne yea add to the lack of reserves the jacking up of prices research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/...PILEGNS
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a video to explain why this is bad news
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 2:39 PM -
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Re: a video to explain why this is bad news
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 2:50 PMah a TF devotee i see.
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 2:49 PMIts almost like things are too quiet right now. -
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 3:27 PMThe too quiet is spot on. This chart is a one that many have been waiting for as the FED has not been too forth coming with this data and now we know why........ -
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 4:09 PMThey know whats coming. This is just the lull before the storm where all the insiders get to position themselves.
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 4:09 PMThat chart is so frightening I had to convince myself it wasn't some kind of mistake or artifact.
Turns out that it's (as I suspected) an artifact of the new Term Auction Facility.
www.federalreserve.gov/moneta...faq.htm
What is the Term Auction Facility ("TAF")? Why are we introducing the TAF and what are some of its terms?
In view of the pressures evident in short-term funding markets, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (the "Board") has approved the establishment of a temporary Term Auction Facility ("TAF") program in which the Federal Reserve will auction term funds to depository institutions.
The TAF is a credit facility that allows a depository institution to place a bid for an advance from its local Federal Reserve Bank at an interest rate that is determined as the result of an auction. By allowing the Federal Reserve to inject term funds through a broader range of counterparties and against a broader range of collateral than open market operations, this facility could help ensure that liquidity provisions can be disseminated efficiently even when the unsecured interbank markets are under stress.
So that's what TAF is. The significance of this is less clear.
These folks want you to think "it's just the TAF, nothing to see here, move along":
www.bloomberg.com/apps/news
blogs.wsj.com/economics/2...false-alarm/
This guy is a little less sure of that:
www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/0...ve.html
Here we find outright skepticism, and a much more thorough explanation of what's going on and what's at stake:
www.ronpaulwarroom.com/
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 7:01 PMhey if the economy keeps tanking out maybe i can finally afford a home in Santa Cruz California! -
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 7:07 PMdon't bet on it, you're gonna have to outbid the asians, arabs, euros, bushes, etc. who will be richer than you and will swoop on those assets at the bottom.
plus, your bank account will be frozen. -
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 7:26 PMso if you guys believe this stuff..........
why aren't you for a candidate like Ron Paul....
instead of a guy like Obama who probably doesn't understand it..............and whose taxation policies will incrementally make things worse................? -
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 8:30 PMCan't you just earn that collateral back by waging a war against another national economy, thereby raising your bank's collateral by taking it from someone else?
I mean, that would be a lot easier. -
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 9:16 PMIn the old days that is just what we did -wage a war and now how every we have gotten to a point where the poor souls we are wagin it upon hav no real economic value cuz of the cost of said war wagin. however the problem is much bigger and perhaps Glenn could do more then throw out a pot shot against Obama and offer some of his insight into this matter.
I will say this Ron Pauls return to yesteryear will not solve this problem -
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 9:43 PMYes, RP's faith in the system is touching. Such a simplistic approach. If the geniuses in DC and NY were smart they'd listen to him, but no they are big swinging dicks. They gotta show them darkies who's boss.
End of day its gonna play itself out. All empires raise a shit storm when they die. Seems to be part of the deal. All you peons will pay for having such stupid rulers, the Bush / Greenspan scam economy prop job in 2003 is going to cost us plenty more than if we'd sucked it up then and reoriented our economy in a rational way. The contradictions of this decrepit industrial-era top down system are only increasing by the day. Its inevitable meltdown will be one for the books.
But don't be scared, my Anglo friends. Lots of other cultures have gone through this shit. We just are too fucking arrogant, we don't know the value of work, we value displays of wealth over human beings, we kill millions as if they were ants, and yes the holy fucking wrath of the universe will be felt as a result, before its all done.
Fear is not the answer, the answer is learning human values over corporate ones. You have to care what happens to the family next door or else they won't care for you. Greed, selfishness, vanity, and the other pedestrian values corporations push onto us can never fulfill humans' need for interpersonal interaction with other humans. Thomas Pink shirts, Priuses, grande lattes, iPods, etc. are NOT the answer. Cooperation, managing the earth's resources for the long term, and concern for fellow humans is THE only answer. The earth is near breaking point. We figure this out in a generation or two or humanity dies.
Theres some real problems now. We have a few madmen with their finger on weapons of mass destruction. These madmen want to control the world. The world needs a better way of managing itself.
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Wed, May 14, 2008 - 9:27 PMOk how about you "Glenn" showing us-- anyone including Ron Pauls --explaining this chart.....do you even know what this is about, do you have a clue if so I would like to hear it.
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so you dont believe it
Thu, May 15, 2008 - 4:15 PMFed's Direct Loans to Banks Climb to Highest Level on Record
By Christopher Anstey
May 15 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve's direct loans of cash to commercial banks climbed to the highest level on record in the past week, a sign of continued stress in financial markets that threatens to curtail credit for households and companies.
Funds provided through the so-called discount window for banks rose by $2.8 billion to a daily average of $14.4 billion in the week to May 14, the central bank said today in Washington. Separately, the Fed's loans to Wall Street bond dealers rose by $75 million to $16.6 billion.
The increase indicates financial firms' emergency needs for cash haven't receded. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said two days ago that while markets have improved, they remain ''far from normal,'' adding that the central bank is prepared to increase its twice monthly auctions of funds to banks.
Fed policy makers in March created the Primary Dealer Credit Facility to offer direct loans to the 20 brokers that trade Treasury securities directly with the New York Fed. The central bank also provided $29 billion of financing to secure Bear Stearns Cos.' takeover by JPMorgan Chase & Co. to stave off bankruptcy.
The central bank's primary dealer resource allows Wall Street banks to borrow money overnight at a 2.25 percent interest rate, the same so-called discount rate charged to commercial banks.
As of May 14, there was $14.5 billion of loans outstanding in the primary-dealer program, while commercial banks had $13.4 billion of discount-window loans, the Fed reported.
Bear Borrowings
Bear Stearns had borrowed $32.5 billion from the Fed as of March 21, according to a JPMorgan regulatory filing on April 11. The central bank doesn't disclose who is borrowing from the discount window or other facilities.
The Fed's holdings of U.S. Treasury securities fell $22.3 billion for a daily average of $520.1 billion. The central bank had about $713 billion of Treasuries two months ago.
There was one net miss, on May 14, the Fed said. A net miss occurs when the actual reserve level in the banking system diverges from the Fed's projections for a day by $2 billion or more. If the level is outside expectations, the federal funds rate can deviate from target.
To contact the reporter on this story: Chris Anstey at canstey@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: May 15, 2008 16:30 EDT -
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Re: so you dont believe it
Thu, May 15, 2008 - 4:46 PManyone care to explain to those economically challenged among us....such as me
wtf? -
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Re: so you dont believe it
Thu, May 15, 2008 - 5:19 PMit means the us banking system is bankrupt. -
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Re: so you dont believe it
Thu, May 15, 2008 - 6:53 PMcDub has just given you the short version....
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Re: so you dont believe it
Thu, May 15, 2008 - 6:53 PMWell there is a raging debate about this chart going on some financial boards now about this with some of the problem being that this data was been held close to the vest by the FED up intill now so a cogent and well thought out reply is brewing. I will offer up the information I have seem so far.
From the FED
Notices and Updates
Aggregate Reserves (H.3)
This feed provides information about aggregate reserves data available from the Federal Reserve Board through the Data Download Program (DDP).
* February 08, 2008
Recent Declines in Nonborrowed Reserves
The H.3 statistical release indicates that nonborrowed reserves of depository institutions have declined substantially since mid-December to a level that is now negative. This development reflects the provision of a large volume of reserves through the Term Auction Facility (TAF) and has no adverse implications for the availability of reserves to the banking system.
By definition, nonborrowed reserves are equal to total reserves minus borrowed reserves. Borrowed reserves are equal to credit extended through the Federal Reserve's regular discount window programs as well as credit extended through the TAF. To maintain a level of total reserves consistent with the Federal Open Market Committee's target federal funds rate, increases in borrowed reserves must generally be met by a commensurate decrease in nonborrowed reserves, which is accomplished through a reduction in the Federal Reserve's holdings of securities and other assets. The negative level of nonborrowed reserves is an arithmetic result of the fact that TAF borrowings are larger than total reserves.
www.federalreserve.gov/feeds/h3.html#73
Now as you can see the FED knew about this for while and the link to the chart in the OP, Original Post, is the the just released data as to how negative the reserves are now and it is not good to say the least and in a nut shell our bank have been borrowing more money than they have the ability to pay back let alone the collateral with which to back up the loans they have obtained via the TAF set up by the FED. Cuz that collateral is the risky mortgages and in exchange the banks have been getting US Treasuries.
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Re: Back to some economic doom
Thu, May 15, 2008 - 5:05 PMHum along if you know this Tom Petty tune:
Free fallin'
I'ma free fallin
yeah I'm freeeeee. Free fallin.
